Rapid AI progress does not automatically produce rapid medical progress; without complementary investment, people still get cancer and Alzheimer's.

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• Not every bottleneck on medical progress is one AI can remove, and which ones will remain can be guessed at now. JTJacob Trefethen2 Aug 2025similar wording
• Going all in on AI is not the highest-return strategy for human flourishing, even if AI does produce rapid scientific advances. JTJacob Trefethen2 Aug 2025similar wording
• AI will not on its own compress decades of medical progress into a few years, because the binding constraint is human data, clinical trials and regulation rather than intelligence. JTJacob Trefethen2 Aug 2025similar wording
• AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. SAScott Alexander12 Sept 2022similar wording
• AI has accelerated the pace of development but not the pace of business, and that mismatch will become more and more apparent. KBKent Beck1 Jul 2026similar wording

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