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← Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any…

13 connected korrents · 12 moments from 14 Apr 2011 to 27 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under ideas vs execution ideas vs execution Everything filed under optimism optimism Everything filed under agency agency Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any reward for being transparent about how they actually work. Ranking charities by their estimatedexpected value alone removes any rewardfor being transparent about how theyactually work. Last stated 15 years ago 18 Aug 2011 HK Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A giving approach that ranks options only by estimated expected value, with no preference for better-grounded estimates, is flawed. — tap to centre the map on it A giving approach that ranks optionsonly by estimated expected value,with no preference forbetter-grounded estimates, isflawed. Last stated 15 years ago 18 Aug 2011 HK Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. — tap to centre the map on it The deeper anyone digs into acharity's cost-effectivenessestimate, the more unwarrantedoptimism they find, so the rightprior on giving is a sceptical one. Last stated 15 years ago 18 Aug 2011 HK Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Effective altruism's scandals are minor next to its record, and its ratio of accomplishments to scandals is as good as that of any large institution. — tap to centre the map on it Effective altruism's scandals areminor next to its record, and itsratio of accomplishments to scandalsis as good as that of any largeinstitution. Last stated 3 years ago 28 Nov 2023 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-11-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out. — tap to centre the map on it Explicit cost-effectiveness modelsdeserve less weight in a givingdecision than the strength of theorganisation carrying the work out. Last stated 11 years ago 9 Dec 2015 EH Elie Hassenfeld — holds since 2014-12-17 — tap for who they are EH Elie Hassenfeld — no longer holds since 2015-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platformdoes not make a biotech fast,because the thousand other steps ofdrug development are still thebottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago 17 Sept 2024 AT Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A designer's edge now is pulling things back, making them simpler and more understandable, because everyone can kind of execute right now. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's edge now is pullingthings back, making them simpler andmore understandable, becauseeveryone can kind of execute rightnow. Last stated 3 months ago 29 Jul 2026 CD Charlie Deets — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A good idea often fails to spread not for lack of merit but because no convenient way exists to implement it. — tap to centre the map on it A good idea often fails to spreadnot for lack of merit but because noconvenient way exists to implementit. Last stated 5 months ago 7 Jun 2026 SR Scott Rao — holds since 2026-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world — tap to centre the map on it A busted computer is not a calamityof data loss or a long restoreprocess in the modern world Last stated 11 months ago 24 Nov 2025 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-11-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of jobs will probably becreated because of AI. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A prisoner who lost faith in his own future was doomed — tap to centre the map on it A prisoner who lost faith in his ownfuture was doomed VF Viktor Frankl — holds since c. 1946–1992 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. — tap to centre the map on it A business can use stewardship of acommunity publication as atop-of-funnel customer acquisitionstrategy without needing thepublication itself to generaterevenue directly. Last stated a month ago 21 Sept 2026 CC Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard — tap to centre the map on it A CEO can master both peacetime andwartime leadership, but it is hard Last stated 16 years ago 14 Apr 2011 BH Ben Horowitz — holds since 2011-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget — tap to centre the map on it A company can produce a goodcommercial without a large budget Last stated 4 years ago 21 Mar 2023 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2011 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any reward for being transparent about how they actually work. Last stated 18 Aug 2011 · 15 years ago Holds Holden Karnofsky Read this korrent →