Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any…
13 connected korrents · 12 moments from 14 Apr 2011 to 27 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ideas vs execution
ideas vs execution
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under agency
agency
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any reward for being transparent about how they actually work.
Ranking charities by their estimated expected value alone removes any reward for being transparent about how they actually work.
Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A giving approach that ranks options only by estimated expected value, with no preference for better-grounded estimates, is flawed. — tap to centre the map on it
A giving approach that ranks options only by estimated expected value, with no preference for better-grounded estimates, is flawed.
Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. — tap to centre the map on it
The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one.
Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Effective altruism's scandals are minor next to its record, and its ratio of accomplishments to scandals is as good as that of any large institution. — tap to centre the map on it
Effective altruism's scandals are minor next to its record, and its ratio of accomplishments to scandals is as good as that of any large institution.
Last stated 3 years ago
28 Nov 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-11-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out. — tap to centre the map on it
Explicit cost-effectiveness models deserve less weight in a giving decision than the strength of the organisation carrying the work out.
Last stated 11 years ago
9 Dec 2015
EH
Elie Hassenfeld — holds since 2014-12-17 — tap for who they are
EH
Elie Hassenfeld — no longer holds since 2015-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it
A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck.
Last stated 2 years ago
17 Sept 2024
AT
Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's edge now is pulling things back, making them simpler and more understandable, because everyone can kind of execute right now. — tap to centre the map on it
A designer's edge now is pulling things back, making them simpler and more understandable, because everyone can kind of execute right now.
Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
CD
Charlie Deets — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A good idea often fails to spread not for lack of merit but because no convenient way exists to implement it. — tap to centre the map on it
A good idea often fails to spread not for lack of merit but because no convenient way exists to implement it.
Last stated 5 months ago
7 Jun 2026
SR
Scott Rao — holds since 2026-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world — tap to centre the map on it
A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world
Last stated 11 months ago
24 Nov 2025
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-11-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A prisoner who lost faith in his own future was doomed — tap to centre the map on it
A prisoner who lost faith in his own future was doomed
VF
Viktor Frankl — holds since c. 1946–1992 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. — tap to centre the map on it
A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly.
Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
CC
Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard — tap to centre the map on it
A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard
Last stated 16 years ago
14 Apr 2011
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2011-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget — tap to centre the map on it
A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget
Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2011 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind