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← Qualitative leaps in AI capability from merely scaling up models are a…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments on record from 5 Nov 2019 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under benchmarks
benchmarks
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under management
management
Everything filed under government
government
Everything filed under robotics
robotics
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Qualitative leaps in AI capability from merely scaling up models are a rational necessity rather than an empirical mystery.
Qualitative leaps in AI capability from merely scaling up models are a rational necessity rather than an empirical mystery.
Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. — tap to centre the map on it
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Last stated 10 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it
The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood.
Last stated 3 days ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Rising AI capability is undermining the assumptions that justify slow, manual government processes. — tap to centre the map on it
Rising AI capability is undermining the assumptions that justify slow, manual government processes.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
3 Sept 2026
JP
Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The quality of the context given to an AI matters more than the model's inherent capability. — tap to centre the map on it
The quality of the context given to an AI matters more than the model's inherent capability.
Last stated 2 months ago
9 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it. — tap to centre the map on it
Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it.
Last stated a month ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research. — tap to centre the map on it
Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
Last stated a month ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better. — tap to centre the map on it
The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better.
Last stated 11 months ago
16 Oct 2025
DF
Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Last stated 6 days ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 10 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it
A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old. — tap to centre the map on it
A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old.
Last stated 3 years ago
19 Dec 2023
PK
Philip Koopman — holds since 2023-12-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 6 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Qualitative leaps in AI capability from merely scaling up models are a rational necessity rather than an empirical mystery.
Last stated 5 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Samuel Hammond
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra Scott Alexander Miles Brundage
Similar wording
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Last stated 12 Nov 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Satya Nadella
Similar wording
The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · 3 days ago
Holds Ethan Mollick
Similar wording
Rising AI capability is undermining the assumptions that justify slow, manual government processes.
Last stated 3 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Jennifer Pahlka
Similar wording
The quality of the context given to an AI matters more than the model's inherent capability.
Last stated 9 Jul 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Tiago Forte
Similar wording
Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it.
Last stated 12 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Chelsea Finn
Similar wording
Scaling up spending on expert human data has not been a major driver of progress in AI research.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · a month ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Similar wording
The one safe bet about AI is that models will improve, so what a company has to build is an organisation that gets better as models get better.
Last stated 16 Oct 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Dylan Field
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Last stated 10 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Samuel Hammond
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 6 days ago
Holds Paul Graham
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 5 Nov 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds François Chollet
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 17 Nov 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Same subject: reinforcement learning
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: benchmarks
A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year.
Last stated 3 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Dax Raad
Same subject: benchmarks
A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old.
Last stated 19 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Philip Koopman
Same subject: benchmarks
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 1 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Thuan Pham