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Predictions should be less extreme than the information they rest on, an idea that is deeply counterintuitive
Drawn from what Daniel Kahneman said
What Daniel Kahneman actually said
- Daniel Kahneman Psychologist and Nobel laureate (1934 to 2024)
As I understood clearly only when I taught statistics some years later, the idea that predictions should be less extreme than the information on which they are based is deeply counterintuitive.
Where this was said
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org
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