Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← People aim at a number of surviving children rather than a number of…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 11 Sept 2021 to 26 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under America
America
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under immigration
immigration
Everything filed under government
government
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: People aim at a number of surviving children rather than a number of births, so falling child mortality lets births fall without anyone wanting a smaller family.
People aim at a number of surviving children rather than a number of births, so falling child mortality lets births fall without anyone wanting a smaller family.
Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Evolution gave humans no target number of births, because what mattered historically was keeping children alive rather than producing them. — tap to centre the map on it
Evolution gave humans no target number of births, because what mattered historically was keeping children alive rather than producing them.
Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The harm done by low fertility is that people end up with fewer children than they wanted, not that a society runs short of workers. — tap to centre the map on it
The harm done by low fertility is that people end up with fewer children than they wanted, not that a society runs short of workers.
Last stated 11 months ago
14 Oct 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many people refuse to act on falling birth rates because raising them is associated with people they consider enemies. — tap to centre the map on it
Many people refuse to act on falling birth rates because raising them is associated with people they consider enemies.
Last stated 3 years ago
17 Jan 2024
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2024-01-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Falling fertility is transmitted by the values that mass media spread, not by how rich any individual is. — tap to centre the map on it
Falling fertility is transmitted by the values that mass media spread, not by how rich any individual is.
Last stated 5 years ago
11 Sept 2021
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2021-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is no long decline in human family size: once child survival is accounted for, the two-century downward trend disappears. — tap to centre the map on it
There is no long decline in human family size: once child survival is accounted for, the two-century downward trend disappears.
Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The global fall in births over the past two centuries is mostly explained by falling child mortality, and that part of the question is settled. — tap to centre the map on it
The global fall in births over the past two centuries is mostly explained by falling child mortality, and that part of the question is settled.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The fall in birth rates is caused by the values modern societies most cherish, so raising them means compromising some of those values. — tap to centre the map on it
The fall in birth rates is caused by the values modern societies most cherish, so raising them means compromising some of those values.
Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no stake in the future. — tap to centre the map on it
Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no stake in the future.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate. — tap to centre the map on it
A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved. — tap to centre the map on it
America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved.
Last stated 3 years ago
23 Jan 2024
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2024-01-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does. — tap to centre the map on it
Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does.
Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 5 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it. — tap to centre the map on it
A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it.
Last stated 3 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid. — tap to centre the map on it
American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid.
Last stated 3 years ago
3 Jan 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-01-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country. — tap to centre the map on it
Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country.
Last stated 2 years ago
5 Sept 2024
BP
Brian Potter — holds since 2024-09-05 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
People aim at a number of surviving children rather than a number of births, so falling child mortality lets births fall without anyone wanting a smaller family.
Last stated 15 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Evolution gave humans no target number of births, because what mattered historically was keeping children alive rather than producing them.
Last stated 15 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Similar wording
The harm done by low fertility is that people end up with fewer children than they wanted, not that a society runs short of workers.
Last stated 14 Oct 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Similar wording
Many people refuse to act on falling birth rates because raising them is associated with people they consider enemies.
Last stated 17 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds RH Robin Hanson
Similar wording
Falling fertility is transmitted by the values that mass media spread, not by how rich any individual is.
Last stated 11 Sept 2021 · 5 years ago
Holds RH Robin Hanson
Similar wording
There is no long decline in human family size: once child survival is accounted for, the two-century downward trend disappears.
Last stated 15 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Similar wording
The global fall in births over the past two centuries is mostly explained by falling child mortality, and that part of the question is settled.
Last stated 20 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Similar wording
The fall in birth rates is caused by the values modern societies most cherish, so raising them means compromising some of those values.
Last stated 3 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds RH Robin Hanson
Similar wording
Falling birth rates make a society less able to be hopeful, because nihilism creeps in when people have no stake in the future.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: immigration
A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: immigration
America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved.
Last stated 23 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds DW Dan Wang
Same subject: immigration
Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does.
Last stated 29 Nov 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds LP Lant Pritchett
Same subject: inflation
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 1 Apr 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds TP Thuan Pham
Same subject: inflation
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Last stated 25 Jul 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Noah Smith
Same subject: inflation
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: Japan
A government taking a stake in its chipmaker is ordinary infrastructure policy — Taiwan, Japan and Singapore all did it.
Last stated 18 Jun 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds LT Lip-Bu Tan
Same subject: Japan
American shipyards are unproductive rather than expensive: their workers are paid about what Korean and Japanese shipyard workers are paid.
Last stated 3 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds AV Austin Vernon
Same subject: Japan
Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country.
Last stated 5 Sept 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds BP Brian Potter