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← Once a technological arms race begins, escalation can be hard to stop even if it leaves everyone worse off.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 25 Jan 2022 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under war
war
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under agency
agency
Everything filed under investing
investing Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Once a technological arms race begins, escalation can be hard to stop even if it leaves everyone worse off. Once a technological arms race begins, escalation can be hard to stop even if it leaves everyone worse off. Last stated 2 months ago
7 Aug 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate. — tap to centre the map on it AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate. Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with. — tap to centre the map on it Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with. Last stated 4 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
AV
Ami Vora — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If AI is risky like fire, everyone should have it; if it is risky like a nuclear weapon, no one should. — tap to centre the map on it If AI is risky like fire, everyone should have it; if it is risky like a nuclear weapon, no one should. Last stated 3 weeks ago
16 Sept 2026
NR
Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Trying to hold escalation down in Ukraine did not contain the war; it lengthened it and made it worse. — tap to centre the map on it Trying to hold escalation down in Ukraine did not contain the war; it lengthened it and made it worse. Last stated a month ago
6 Sept 2026
PO
Phillips P. OBrien — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Hostility to a new technology comes from people whose power rests on the old one, because the new technology reorders who holds status. — tap to centre the map on it Hostility to a new technology comes from people whose power rests on the old one, because the new technology reorders who holds status. Last stated 5 years ago
25 Jan 2022
MA
Marc Andreessen — holds since 2022-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Competition between AI companies and countries is pushing accelerated AI development without sufficient caution, risking loss of control. — tap to centre the map on it Competition between AI companies and countries is pushing accelerated AI development without sufficient caution, risking loss of control. Last stated a year ago
3 Jun 2025
YB
Yoshua Bengio — holds since 2025-06-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. — tap to centre the map on it Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. — tap to centre the map on it The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival. Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: More about money may be learned from fields like politics, military history, biology and sociology than from a finance book, because the question is how people make decisions. — tap to centre the map on it More about money may be learned from fields like politics, military history, biology and sociology than from a finance book, because the question is how people make decisions. Last stated 2 years ago
28 May 2024
MH
Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated 3 weeks ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. Last stated 12 months ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. — tap to centre the map on it A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. Last stated a year ago
31 Jul 2025
JW
Jack Weatherford — holds since 2025-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American ICBMs do not have the range to reach North Korea without flying over Russia, which is the flaw that turns a limited counterattack into Armageddon. — tap to centre the map on it American ICBMs do not have the range to reach North Korea without flying over Russia, which is the flaw that turns a limited counterattack into Armageddon. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American missile defence is a fiction: 44 interceptors that work about half the time cannot answer the 1,670 warheads Russia has deployed. — tap to centre the map on it American missile defence is a fiction: 44 interceptors that work about half the time cannot answer the 1,670 warheads Russia has deployed. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Once a technological arms race begins, escalation can be hard to stop even if it leaves everyone worse off.
Holds Read this korrent →
AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate.
Holds
Mapping out exactly what will happen in uncertain times probably locks you out of trying new things; leaders should frame the chaos so it feels safe to engage with.
Holds
If AI is risky like fire, everyone should have it; if it is risky like a nuclear weapon, no one should.
Holds
Trying to hold escalation down in Ukraine did not contain the war; it lengthened it and made it worse.
Holds
Hostility to a new technology comes from people whose power rests on the old one, because the new technology reorders who holds status.
Holds
Competition between AI companies and countries is pushing accelerated AI development without sufficient caution, risking loss of control.
Holds
Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future.
Holds
The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival.
Holds
More about money may be learned from fields like politics, military history, biology and sociology than from a finance book, because the question is how people make decisions.
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting.
Holds
9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today.
Holds
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Holds
A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted.
Holds
American ICBMs do not have the range to reach North Korea without flying over Russia, which is the flaw that turns a limited counterattack into Armageddon.
Holds
American missile defence is a fiction: 44 interceptors that work about half the time cannot answer the 1,670 warheads Russia has deployed.
Holds