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← On everyday high-stakes questions, a model's answer can now be trusted more than an expert human's.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 18 Mar 2024 to 21 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AI writing
AI writing
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under code generation
code generation
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: On everyday high-stakes questions, a model's answer can now be trusted more than an expert human's.
On everyday high-stakes questions, a model's answer can now be trusted more than an expert human's.
Last stated 4 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Existing AI models are already more than good enough, doing more for writing code than the author can make use of. — tap to centre the map on it
Existing AI models are already more than good enough, doing more for writing code than the author can make use of.
Last stated a month ago
8 Sept 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When not an expert in an area, one tends to trust AI and later learns it does stupid stuff. — tap to centre the map on it
When not an expert in an area, one tends to trust AI and later learns it does stupid stuff.
Last stated 3 days ago
19 Oct 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Feeling you have a grip on AI by getting your skills in the right order and your review flow right is probably a lot of cope for the fact that the models are still inconsistent. — tap to centre the map on it
Feeling you have a grip on AI by getting your skills in the right order and your review flow right is probably a lot of cope for the fact that the models are still inconsistent.
Last stated 6 months ago
14 Apr 2026
BL
Brian Lovin — holds since 2026-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it
Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress.
Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
JP
Jakub Pachocki — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is much better to be humble about AI and admit it is changing quickly. — tap to centre the map on it
It is much better to be humble about AI and admit it is changing quickly.
Last stated 2 months ago
16 Aug 2026
IS
Ian Silber — holds since 2026-08-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Frontier AI models are turning out to be more capable at technical work than expected. — tap to centre the map on it
Frontier AI models are turning out to be more capable at technical work than expected.
Last stated 3 months ago
26 Jul 2026
PW
Peter Woit — holds since 2026-07-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The industry is now accumulating code faster than it is accumulating trust, and trust only comes from having struggled to understand the domain yourself. — tap to centre the map on it
The industry is now accumulating code faster than it is accumulating trust, and trust only comes from having struggled to understand the domain yourself.
Last stated 4 months ago
1 Jul 2026
KB
Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it
AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks.
Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it
A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week.
Last stated yesterday
21 Oct 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it
Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Last stated 4 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Last stated 7 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy. — tap to centre the map on it
A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build. — tap to centre the map on it
AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build.
Last stated 5 months ago
26 May 2026
CB
Carlos Alexandro Becker — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
On everyday high-stakes questions, a model's answer can now be trusted more than an expert human's.
Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Noam Brown
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Existing AI models are already more than good enough, doing more for writing code than the author can make use of.
Last stated 8 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Gergely Orosz
Similar wording
When not an expert in an area, one tends to trust AI and later learns it does stupid stuff.
Last stated 19 Oct 2026 · 3 days ago
Holds Gergely Orosz
Similar wording
Feeling you have a grip on AI by getting your skills in the right order and your review flow right is probably a lot of cope for the fact that the models are still inconsistent.
Last stated 14 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Brian Lovin
Similar wording
Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress.
Last stated 6 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jakub Pachocki
Similar wording
It is much better to be humble about AI and admit it is changing quickly.
Last stated 16 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ian Silber
Similar wording
Frontier AI models are turning out to be more capable at technical work than expected.
Last stated 26 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Peter Woit
Similar wording
The industry is now accumulating code faster than it is accumulating trust, and trust only comes from having struggled to understand the domain yourself.
Last stated 1 Jul 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Kent Beck
Similar wording
AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks.
Last stated 30 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Jeff Dean
Same subject: OpenAI
A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week.
Last stated 21 Oct 2026 · yesterday
Holds Peter Steinberger
Same subject: OpenAI
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: OpenAI
Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: scaling laws
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Same subject: scaling laws
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Noam Brown
Same subject: scaling laws
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Last stated 13 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: AI writing
A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy.
Last stated 27 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Molly Graham
Same subject: AI writing
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Grant Sanderson
Same subject: AI writing
AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build.
Last stated 26 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Carlos Alexandro Becker