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← Judgment and cognition are the two capacities the nuclear launch…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 9 Aug 2022 to 20 Sept 2026.
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government Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Judgment and cognition are the two capacities the nuclear launch decision actually turns on, which is the standard a presidential candidate should be measured against. Judgment and cognition are the two capacities the nuclear launch decision actually turns on, which is the standard a presidential candidate should be measured against. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As politics grows more viperous, leaders of nuclear-armed nations surround themselves with sycophants, so you can no longer count on a president being given good advice. — tap to centre the map on it As politics grows more viperous, leaders of nuclear-armed nations surround themselves with sycophants, so you can no longer count on a president being given good advice. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When politicians or executives offer a choice between two bad options, refuse the frame: reframe the question instead of accepting responsibility for either. — tap to centre the map on it When politicians or executives offer a choice between two bad options, refuse the frame: reframe the question instead of accepting responsibility for either. Last stated a year ago
30 Sept 2025
PD
Pavel Durov — holds since 2025-09-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. — tap to centre the map on it When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Holding wrong opinions one is attached to and does not stress test may be the greatest tragedy of most people, and putting ideas out to be stress tested raises the probability of being right. — tap to centre the map on it Holding wrong opinions one is attached to and does not stress test may be the greatest tragedy of most people, and putting ideas out to be stress tested raises the probability of being right. Last stated 4 years ago
27 Sept 2022
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2022-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nuclear is a hardware execution problem, not a design problem, and the companies treating it as a design problem are mistaken. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear is a hardware execution problem, not a design problem, and the companies treating it as a design problem are mistaken. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: One person can start a nuclear war on his own authority in a democracy: the President of the United States asks permission of no one, and he is the only one who can do it. — tap to centre the map on it One person can start a nuclear war on his own authority in a democracy: the President of the United States asks permission of no one, and he is the only one who can do it. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Mar 2024
AJ
Annie Jacobsen — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is no clearly defined notion of who the right people are to entrust with power, which warrants deep skepticism of government on public choice grounds. — tap to centre the map on it There is no clearly defined notion of who the right people are to entrust with power, which warrants deep skepticism of government on public choice grounds. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cautious expert race ratings, like Cook's, are misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterms under unpopular presidents. — tap to centre the map on it Cautious expert race ratings, like Cook's, are misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterms under unpopular presidents. Last stated a month ago
20 Sept 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. Last stated a year ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. Last stated a month ago
11 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. — tap to centre the map on it A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted. Last stated a year ago
31 Jul 2025
JW
Jack Weatherford — holds since 2025-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time. — tap to centre the map on it Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time. Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
PO
Phillips P. OBrien — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Digital finance has become a weapon of war, as shown by the financial deplatforming of groups like Canadian truckers and Russians. — tap to centre the map on it Digital finance has become a weapon of war, as shown by the financial deplatforming of groups like Canadian truckers and Russians. Last stated 3 months ago
12 Jul 2026
BS
Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Britain alone in Europe needed no large standing army, because a competent navy meant no army could ever reach its shores. — tap to centre the map on it Britain alone in Europe needed no large standing army, because a competent navy meant no army could ever reach its shores. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Britain and France's refusal to negotiate seriously with the Soviet Union in the summer of 1939 was the great missed opportunity to snooker the Third Reich. — tap to centre the map on it Britain and France's refusal to negotiate seriously with the Soviet Union in the summer of 1939 was the great missed opportunity to snooker the Third Reich. Last stated a year ago
24 May 2025
JH
James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Britain out-produced Germany in single-engine fighters right through the Battle of Britain, by two to one even in the Germans' best month. — tap to centre the map on it Britain out-produced Germany in single-engine fighters right through the Battle of Britain, by two to one even in the Germans' best month. Last stated a year ago
24 May 2025
JH
James Holland — holds since 2025-05-24 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Judgment and cognition are the two capacities the nuclear launch decision actually turns on, which is the standard a presidential candidate should be measured against.
Holds Read this korrent →
As politics grows more viperous, leaders of nuclear-armed nations surround themselves with sycophants, so you can no longer count on a president being given good advice.
Holds
When politicians or executives offer a choice between two bad options, refuse the frame: reframe the question instead of accepting responsibility for either.
Holds
When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over.
Holds
Holding wrong opinions one is attached to and does not stress test may be the greatest tragedy of most people, and putting ideas out to be stress tested raises the probability of being right.
Holds
Nuclear is a hardware execution problem, not a design problem, and the companies treating it as a design problem are mistaken.
Holds
One person can start a nuclear war on his own authority in a democracy: the President of the United States asks permission of no one, and he is the only one who can do it.
Holds
There is no clearly defined notion of who the right people are to entrust with power, which warrants deep skepticism of government on public choice grounds.
Holds
Cautious expert race ratings, like Cook's, are misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterms under unpopular presidents.
Holds
'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting.
Holds
9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today.
Holds
A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible.
Holds
A nation of a million people cannot rule hundreds of millions by warfare; the Mongol Empire lasted because it offered its subjects things they actually wanted.
Holds
Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time.
Holds
Digital finance has become a weapon of war, as shown by the financial deplatforming of groups like Canadian truckers and Russians.
Holds
Britain alone in Europe needed no large standing army, because a competent navy meant no army could ever reach its shores.
Holds
Britain and France's refusal to negotiate seriously with the Soviet Union in the summer of 1939 was the great missed opportunity to snooker the Third Reich.
Holds
Britain out-produced Germany in single-engine fighters right through the Battle of Britain, by two to one even in the Germans' best month.
Holds