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← It would take a polling error of epic proportions for Democrats to fail to pick up the House chamber.
13 connected korrents · 13 moments from 15 May 2025 to 25 Oct 2026.
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America Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: It would take a polling error of epic proportions for Democrats to fail to pick up the House chamber. It would take a polling error of epic proportions for Democrats to fail to pick up the House chamber. Last stated 4 days ago
25 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It would take a massive October surprise or a bigger-than-2016 polling error to save the Republican majority in the House, despite Republicans’ aggressive redistricting. — tap to centre the map on it It would take a massive October surprise or a bigger-than-2016 polling error to save the Republican majority in the House, despite Republicans’ aggressive redistricting. Last stated 2 weeks ago
13 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Polls may be biased in either direction — tap to centre the map on it Polls may be biased in either direction Last stated 4 weeks ago
3 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Small polling errors can produce large electoral effects. — tap to centre the map on it Small polling errors can produce large electoral effects. Last stated a month ago
23 Sept 2026
JM
Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Across nine election years since 2008, polls were biased against Democrats once, against Republicans four times, and basically unbiased four times. — tap to centre the map on it Across nine election years since 2008, polls were biased against Democrats once, against Republicans four times, and basically unbiased four times. Last stated 4 weeks ago
3 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 5 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. Last stated a year ago
15 May 2025
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's scientific trajectory can keep advancing even if political instability or economic uncertainty slows its broader progress. — tap to centre the map on it A country's scientific trajectory can keep advancing even if political instability or economic uncertainty slows its broader progress. Last stated 7 months ago
21 Mar 2026
TG
Tanner Greer — holds since 2026-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. — tap to centre the map on it A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
RB
Radley Balko — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A competent, empowered civil service that performs crucial government functions with in-house expertise is good. — tap to centre the map on it A competent, empowered civil service that performs crucial government functions with in-house expertise is good. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. — tap to centre the map on it 'As long as it takes' lacks urgency, and it is a formula available to Ukraine's allies precisely because they are not the ones doing the fighting. Last stated a year ago
10 Oct 2025
LF
Lawrence Freedman — holds since 2025-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. — tap to centre the map on it 9/11 and Osama bin Laden's actions fundamentally shaped the world we live in today. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. — tap to centre the map on it A ceasefire along the current lines would end the killing and still leave a long-term settlement between Russia and Ukraine possible. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are