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← If reasoning can be separated from facts, the frontier labs lose their…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 11 Oct 2018 to 17 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Everything filed under physics physics Everything filed under AGI AGI Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: If reasoning can be separated from facts, the frontier labs lose their advantage, because nobody needs a million-GPU cluster any more. If reasoning can be separated from facts,the frontier labs lose their advantage,because nobody needs a million-GPU clusterany more. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: NVIDIA hardware is unlikely to become cheaper, keeping local AI data centers out of reach for small companies. — tap to centre the map on it NVIDIA hardware is unlikely tobecome cheaper, keeping local AIdata centers out of reach for smallcompanies. Last stated 5 months ago 25 May 2026 SS Salvatore Sanfilippo — holds since 2026-05-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nvidia's real miss was not seeing that a frontier lab could never be funded by venture capital, so its compute suppliers had to become its investors. — tap to centre the map on it Nvidia's real miss was not seeingthat a frontier lab could never befunded by venture capital, so itscompute suppliers had to become itsinvestors. Last stated 6 months ago 15 Apr 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-04-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A frontier lab should not spend its researchers harvesting results out of today's models; the payoff is in building the next one. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier lab should not spend itsresearchers harvesting results outof today's models; the payoff is inbuilding the next one. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference is a high-margin business even for a middleman: renting GPUs at scale, some models carry an eighty per cent margin over their sticker price. — tap to centre the map on it Inference is a high-margin businesseven for a middleman: renting GPUsat scale, some models carry aneighty per cent margin over theirsticker price. Last stated 5 months ago 27 May 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. — tap to centre the map on it There is no private evidence behindfrontier-lab confidence in fast AIprogress; the evidence is public andoutsiders have simply not absorbedit. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Falling back to older 7-nanometre chips would not rescue AI compute, because the real gap between chip generations is twentyfold, not the threefold the flops suggest. — tap to centre the map on it Falling back to older 7-nanometrechips would not rescue AI compute,because the real gap between chipgenerations is twentyfold, not thethreefold the flops suggest. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no overnightintelligence explosion, because amodel's best work takes so muchtest-time compute that time itselfis the bottleneck. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. — tap to centre the map on it AI should be released iterativelyrather than built in secret, becauseAI and surprise do not go togetherand the world needs time to adaptbefore it is under the gun. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on auniversity economics midterm, yearsearlier than informed forecastersexpected. Last stated 4 years ago 21 Mar 2023 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A deep bidirectional model is strictly more powerful than a left-to-right model or a shallow concatenation of unidirectional models. — tap to centre the map on it A deep bidirectional model isstrictly more powerful than aleft-to-right model or a shallowconcatenation of unidirectionalmodels. Last stated 8 years ago 11 Oct 2018 KT Kristina Toutanova — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are MC Ming-Wei Chang — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are KL Kenton Lee — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are JD Jacob Devlin — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A neural network's latent space is closer to an uncopyrightable syntax than to copyrightable expression. — tap to centre the map on it A neural network's latent space iscloser to an uncopyrightable syntaxthan to copyrightable expression. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Sept 2026 KK Kevin Kelly — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Large language models are grown rather than built, and nobody really knows how the resulting working AI functions. — tap to centre the map on it Large language models are grownrather than built, and nobody reallyknows how the resulting working AIfunctions. Last stated a month ago 8 Sept 2026 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are
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At the centre If reasoning can be separated from facts, the frontier labs lose their advantage, because nobody needs a million-GPU cluster any more. Last stated 19 Jun 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Aravind Srinivas Read this korrent →