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If declines in chain-of-thought monitorability come only from capability gains, CoT monitoring is unlikely to last another year without active improvement.
Drawn from what Zvi Mowshowitz said
SubjectAI alignment
What Zvi Mowshowitz actually said
- Zvi Mowshowitz Writes Don't Worry About the Vase
If this is only due to gains in capabilities, that is extremely bad news, and it means CoT monitoring is unlikely to survive for another year unless we find a way to actively improve it, and it might not last six months.
Added to korrents 8 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us
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