If AI enthusiasm does not produce a bubble on the historical pattern, it will be the first transformative technology that did not.

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• The AI build-out is not yet a bubble, because it lacks the self-reinforcing feedback loop that drove the railway and telecom manias. DODoug O'Laughlin13 Jan 2025similar wording
• Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception. PCPaul Christiano24 Feb 2018similar wording
• There is no way to capture a new technology’s upside without being exposed to the losses if the enthusiasm proves excessive. HMHoward Marks9 Dec 2025similar wording
• If the AI build-out does become a bubble, power and data centres are the assets that will carry it. DODoug O'Laughlin13 Jan 2025similar wording
• The confusion about who does what is a storming phase every transformative technology causes, and AI is in the middle of it. ESElizabeth Stone19 Jul 2026similar wording

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