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← High-risk bets are fine as long as they are ones that would be super…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 14 Sept 2008 to 25 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under health and fitness
health and fitness
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under stock market
stock market
Everything filed under investing
investing
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humility
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
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courage
Everything filed under venture capital
venture capital Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: High-risk bets are fine as long as they are ones that would be super valuable if they worked, and research looks this way. High-risk bets are fine as long as they are ones that would be super valuable if they worked, and research looks this way. Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Risk can be reduced without reducing returns by structuring bets in a more diversified way. — tap to centre the map on it Risk can be reduced without reducing returns by structuring bets in a more diversified way. Last stated 4 years ago
27 Sept 2022
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2022-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived. — tap to centre the map on it Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody should take on a concentrated, illiquid asset that is correlated with their main source of income, because that same risk is why outsized rewards exist in the first place. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody should take on a concentrated, illiquid asset that is correlated with their main source of income, because that same risk is why outsized rewards exist in the first place. Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
NM
Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Feb 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-02-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Enterprises buy from startups now because the risk of keeping the status quo has come to look larger than the risk of the startup. — tap to centre the map on it Enterprises buy from startups now because the risk of keeping the status quo has come to look larger than the risk of the startup. Last stated 3 months ago
31 Jul 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-07-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In complex decisions exposed to fat tails, decisions should not rest on statistically based claims — tap to centre the map on it In complex decisions exposed to fat tails, decisions should not rest on statistically based claims Last stated 18 years ago
14 Sept 2008
NT
Nassim Nicholas Taleb — holds since 2008-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people are fundamentally good, which makes the risk of trusting them worth taking. — tap to centre the map on it Most people are fundamentally good, which makes the risk of trusting them worth taking. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Mar 2024
MM
Mark Manson — holds since 2024-03-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people are probably too risk-averse, and writing out the worst outcomes shows they are not that bad. — tap to centre the map on it Most people are probably too risk-averse, and writing out the worst outcomes shows they are not that bad. Last stated 3 years ago
by 27 Dec 2023
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A celebrated popular science book can consistently misrepresent the literature it summarises and contradict its own sources. — tap to centre the map on it A celebrated popular science book can consistently misrepresent the literature it summarises and contradict its own sources. Last stated 7 years ago
15 Nov 2019
AG
Alexey Guzey — holds since 2019-11-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A conclusion being biologically reasonable is not the same as its having been proven. — tap to centre the map on it A conclusion being biologically reasonable is not the same as its having been proven. Last stated 3 months ago
11 Jul 2026
PA
Peter Attia — holds since 2026-07-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in heart rate variability values typically precedes the onset of noticeable sickness symptoms by about a day. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in heart rate variability values typically precedes the onset of noticeable sickness symptoms by about a day. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
RM
Ray Maker — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price. — tap to centre the map on it A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price. Last stated a year ago
21 May 2025
EZ
Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A high, stable dividend yield gives a stock's valuation a downside floor that growth stocks without dividends lack. — tap to centre the map on it A high, stable dividend yield gives a stock's valuation a downside floor that growth stocks without dividends lack. Last stated 8 months ago
3 Mar 2026
SB
Sanjay Bakshi — holds since 2026-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market. — tap to centre the map on it A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market. Last stated 4 weeks ago
25 Sept 2026
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. Last stated 4 months ago
14 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. — tap to centre the map on it A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. — tap to centre the map on it About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. Last stated 3 months ago
18 Jul 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
High-risk bets are fine as long as they are ones that would be super valuable if they worked, and research looks this way.
Holds Read this korrent →
Risk can be reduced without reducing returns by structuring bets in a more diversified way.
Holds
Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived.
Holds
Nobody should take on a concentrated, illiquid asset that is correlated with their main source of income, because that same risk is why outsized rewards exist in the first place.
Holds
Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake.
Holds
Enterprises buy from startups now because the risk of keeping the status quo has come to look larger than the risk of the startup.
Holds
In complex decisions exposed to fat tails, decisions should not rest on statistically based claims
Holds
Most people are fundamentally good, which makes the risk of trusting them worth taking.
Holds
Most people are probably too risk-averse, and writing out the worst outcomes shows they are not that bad.
Holds
A celebrated popular science book can consistently misrepresent the literature it summarises and contradict its own sources.
Holds
A conclusion being biologically reasonable is not the same as its having been proven.
Holds
A drop in heart rate variability values typically precedes the onset of noticeable sickness symptoms by about a day.
Holds
A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price.
Holds
A high, stable dividend yield gives a stock's valuation a downside floor that growth stocks without dividends lack.
Holds
A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market.
Holds
A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit.
Holds
A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for.
Holds
About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out.
Holds