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← Diminishing returns in research are not intrinsic to the world: they…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 15 Jul 2021 to 20 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under ideas vs execution ideas vs execution Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under patience patience Everything filed under design design Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Diminishing returns in research are not intrinsic to the world: they are what you get when the institutions around research stop changing. Diminishing returns in research are notintrinsic to the world: they are what youget when the institutions around researchstop changing. Last stated 7 months ago 7 Apr 2026 MN Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A million copies of one researcher would hit diminishing returns quickly, because what research needs is people who think differently. — tap to centre the map on it A million copies of one researcherwould hit diminishing returnsquickly, because what research needsis people who think differently. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scientific and academic evaluation will shift away from published papers as the measure of output, toward valuing real-world results. — tap to centre the map on it Scientific and academic evaluationwill shift away from publishedpapers as the measure of output,toward valuing real-world results. Last stated a month ago 20 Sept 2026 DL Daniel Lemire — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statisticallyinsignificant experiments is thesignal that a team has exploited anarea too far and should go back toexploring. Last stated a year ago 5 Oct 2025 AC Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Returns for performance are superlinear rather than proportional across most domains that matter. — tap to centre the map on it Returns for performance aresuperlinear rather than proportionalacross most domains that matter. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Marketing returns are fat-tailed, so paying for marketing by the hour misprices work whose value comes from a small fraction of it. — tap to centre the map on it Marketing returns are fat-tailed, sopaying for marketing by the hourmisprices work whose value comesfrom a small fraction of it. Last stated 10 months ago 9 Dec 2025 RS Rory Sutherland — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Diminishing returns in science is a snapshot illusion: somebody keeps restocking the table, and new fields make progress easy again. — tap to centre the map on it Diminishing returns in science is asnapshot illusion: somebody keepsrestocking the table, and new fieldsmake progress easy again. Last stated 7 months ago 7 Apr 2026 MN Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being average for an above-average period of time can lead to a well above-average result, because endurance rather than this year's return is the variable that matters. — tap to centre the map on it Being average for an above-averageperiod of time can lead to a wellabove-average result, becauseendurance rather than this year'sreturn is the variable that matters. Last stated 2 years ago 28 May 2024 MH Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-05-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is notby itself a reason to expect it todo better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago 13 May 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platformdoes not make a biotech fast,because the thousand other steps ofdrug development are still thebottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago 17 Sept 2024 AT Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. — tap to centre the map on it A computational method can regularlypredict protein structures withatomic accuracy even when no similarstructure is known. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A narrow, highly accurate model can beat a general one inside its own domain, as AlphaFold did, and materials science and chip design are next. — tap to centre the map on it A narrow, highly accurate model canbeat a general one inside its owndomain, as AlphaFold did, andmaterials science and chip designare next. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Accurate computational approaches are needed to close the protein structural coverage gap and enable large-scale structural bioinformatics. — tap to centre the map on it Accurate computational approachesare needed to close the proteinstructural coverage gap and enablelarge-scale structuralbioinformatics. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models can be more accurate than physical experiments by averaging out noise, incorporating priors from large datasets, and interpolating between data points. — tap to centre the map on it AI models can be more accurate thanphysical experiments by averagingout noise, incorporating priors fromlarge datasets, and interpolatingbetween data points. Last stated 11 months ago 23 Nov 2025 EH Elliot Hershberg — holds since 2025-11-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Diminishing returns in research are not intrinsic to the world: they are what you get when the institutions around research stop changing. Last stated 7 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago Holds Michael Nielsen Read this korrent →