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← Almost everything worth doing sits in a probabilistic domain where a perfect score is not available.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 8 Jan 2013 to 4 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under creativity
creativity
Everything filed under simplicity
simplicity
Everything filed under taste
taste
Everything filed under design
design
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under startups
startups
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Almost everything worth doing sits in a probabilistic domain where a perfect score is not available.
Almost everything worth doing sits in a probabilistic domain where a perfect score is not available.
Last stated 5 years ago
25 Jan 2022
MA
Marc Andreessen — holds since 2022-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Without the elementary mathematics of probability in one’s repertoire, one gives everybody else a huge advantage — tap to centre the map on it
Without the elementary mathematics of probability in one’s repertoire, one gives everybody else a huge advantage
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. — tap to centre the map on it
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. — tap to centre the map on it
A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it.
Last stated 10 months ago
12 Dec 2025
IF
Irving Finkel — holds since 2025-12-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use. — tap to centre the map on it
You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use.
Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
JB
John Bai — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself. — tap to centre the map on it
Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself.
Last stated 2 years ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Judging one model worse than another from a one-shot, probabilistic output on a given day is not a good way to evaluate it. — tap to centre the map on it
Judging one model worse than another from a one-shot, probabilistic output on a given day is not a good way to evaluate it.
Last stated 5 months ago
19 May 2026
TG
Tommy Geoco — holds since 2026-05-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There are no bad ideas among qualified people starting technology companies; there is only timing and execution. — tap to centre the map on it
There are no bad ideas among qualified people starting technology companies; there is only timing and execution.
Last stated 5 years ago
25 Jan 2022
MA
Marc Andreessen — holds since 2022-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model cannot produce work that is both original and good, because nothing gives it a score for originality. — tap to centre the map on it
A language model cannot produce work that is both original and good, because nothing gives it a score for originality.
Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources. — tap to centre the map on it
A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources.
Last stated 8 years ago
29 Sept 2018
TG
Tren Griffin — holds since 2018-09-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A candidate negotiating an offer should make every ask fit one line of logic. — tap to centre the map on it
A candidate negotiating an offer should make every ask fit one line of logic.
Last stated 2 months ago
9 Aug 2026
AW
Adam Ward — holds since 2026-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence. — tap to centre the map on it
A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence.
Last stated 7 years ago
28 Oct 2019
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2019-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it. — tap to centre the map on it
A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it.
Last stated 6 months ago
21 Apr 2026
BJ
Brandon Jacoby — holds since 2026-04-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers. — tap to centre the map on it
A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
4 Oct 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it
A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on.
Last stated 3 months ago
6 Aug 2026
GS
George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it
A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
IA
Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness — tap to centre the map on it
A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness
Last stated 14 years ago
8 Jan 2013
DD
Daniel Dennett — holds since 2013-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. — tap to centre the map on it
A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists.
Last stated 11 years ago
6 Nov 2015
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2013 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Almost everything worth doing sits in a probabilistic domain where a perfect score is not available.
Last stated 25 Jan 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Marc Andreessen
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Without the elementary mathematics of probability in one’s repertoire, one gives everybody else a huge advantage
Last stated c. 1994
Holds Charlie Munger
Similar wording
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it.
Last stated 12 Dec 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Irving Finkel
Similar wording
You can build anything now, but not everything is worth building; what matters is whether ideas take a shape somebody else would want to use.
Last stated 25 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds John Bai
Similar wording
Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself.
Last stated 23 Mar 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Rahul Vohra
Similar wording
Judging one model worse than another from a one-shot, probabilistic output on a given day is not a good way to evaluate it.
Last stated 19 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Tommy Geoco
Similar wording
There are no bad ideas among qualified people starting technology companies; there is only timing and execution.
Last stated 25 Jan 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Marc Andreessen
Similar wording
A language model cannot produce work that is both original and good, because nothing gives it a score for originality.
Last stated 2 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Benedict Evans
Same subject: simplicity
A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources.
Last stated 29 Sept 2018 · 8 years ago
Holds Tren Griffin
Same subject: simplicity
A candidate negotiating an offer should make every ask fit one line of logic.
Last stated 9 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Adam Ward
Same subject: simplicity
A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence.
Last stated 28 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Same subject: taste
A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it.
Last stated 21 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Brandon Jacoby
Same subject: taste
A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers.
Last stated 4 Oct 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Paul Graham
Same subject: taste
A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on.
Last stated 6 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds George Saunders
Same subject: creativity
A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them
Last stated c. 1959
Holds Isaac Asimov
Same subject: creativity
A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness
Last stated 8 Jan 2013 · 14 years ago
Holds Daniel Dennett
Same subject: creativity
A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists.
Last stated 6 Nov 2015 · 11 years ago
Holds Tim Urban