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← AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works,…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 3 Oct 2012 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under ideas vs execution
ideas vs execution
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under AI sentience
AI sentience Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive. AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Sept 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI gives a very clear idea of what is possible, but it is still up to people to walk the terrain. — tap to centre the map on it AI gives a very clear idea of what is possible, but it is still up to people to walk the terrain. Last stated 7 months ago
25 Mar 2026
FG
Flora Guo — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Probably nobody has yet figured out how to measure the outcomes of AI-assisted product work. — tap to centre the map on it Probably nobody has yet figured out how to measure the outcomes of AI-assisted product work. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
TY
Tamar Yehoshua — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even when AI is capable of performing a job, it may not be permitted to do so. — tap to centre the map on it Even when AI is capable of performing a job, it may not be permitted to do so. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
NM
Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience. Last stated 3 months ago
16 Jul 2026
SJ
Steven Johnson — holds since 2026-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all. — tap to centre the map on it There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all. Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality Last stated 3 years ago
10 Oct 2023
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AGI research made no progress in its first six decades. — tap to centre the map on it AGI research made no progress in its first six decades. Last stated 14 years ago
3 Oct 2012
DD
David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics. — tap to centre the map on it An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. — tap to centre the map on it Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
At the centre
AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive.
Holds Read this korrent →
AI gives a very clear idea of what is possible, but it is still up to people to walk the terrain.
Holds
The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood.
Holds
Probably nobody has yet figured out how to measure the outcomes of AI-assisted product work.
Holds
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Holds
Even when AI is capable of performing a job, it may not be permitted to do so.
Holds
Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience.
Holds
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Holds
There is essentially no cognitive task humans do where AI improvement is failing to transfer at all.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Holds
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Holds
AGI research made no progress in its first six decades.
Holds
An AI that cannot work out new physics has not equalled human intelligence, let alone surpassed it, because humans have worked out new physics.
Holds
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Holds
AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning.
Holds
Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves.
Holds