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← A statistically significant change is not the same as an important…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 11 Jan 2021 to 23 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under AI and science
AI and science
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value investing
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benchmarks
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management
Everything filed under Psychotherapy
Psychotherapy
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venture capital Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A statistically significant change is not the same as an important one, and survey data cannot tell you which it is. A statistically significant change is not the same as an important one, and survey data cannot tell you which it is. Last stated 7 months ago
28 Mar 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-03-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How people feel about an economy is what actually matters, and no set of statistics will persuade someone who feels they are losing that they are winning. — tap to centre the map on it How people feel about an economy is what actually matters, and no set of statistics will persuade someone who feels they are losing that they are winning. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
JB
Jennifer Burns — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Failing to adjust raw data for known measurement biases produces inaccurate results. — tap to centre the map on it Failing to adjust raw data for known measurement biases produces inaccurate results. Last stated 3 months ago
27 Jul 2026
AD
Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world. — tap to centre the map on it The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world. Last stated 6 years ago
11 Jan 2021
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2021-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Supposedly decreasing crime statistics can no longer be trusted, since police in many places seem to refuse crime reports. — tap to centre the map on it Supposedly decreasing crime statistics can no longer be trusted, since police in many places seem to refuse crime reports. Last stated 4 weeks ago
23 Sept 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When a benchmark disagrees with what people actually adopt, what it is telling you is that the thing it measures does not matter. — tap to centre the map on it When a benchmark disagrees with what people actually adopt, what it is telling you is that the thing it measures does not matter. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. — tap to centre the map on it Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Last stated a year ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Protocol differences and therapy brands matter less than people think. — tap to centre the map on it Protocol differences and therapy brands matter less than people think. Last stated a year ago
22 Sept 2025
SH
Steven C. Hayes — holds since 2025-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. Last stated 4 months ago
14 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. — tap to centre the map on it A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. — tap to centre the map on it About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. Last stated 3 months ago
18 Jul 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A statistically significant change is not the same as an important one, and survey data cannot tell you which it is.
Holds Read this korrent →
How people feel about an economy is what actually matters, and no set of statistics will persuade someone who feels they are losing that they are winning.
Holds
A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring.
Holds
Failing to adjust raw data for known measurement biases produces inaccurate results.
Holds
The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world.
Holds
Supposedly decreasing crime statistics can no longer be trusted, since police in many places seem to refuse crime reports.
Holds
When a benchmark disagrees with what people actually adopt, what it is telling you is that the thing it measures does not matter.
Holds
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Holds
Protocol differences and therapy brands matter less than people think.
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Holds
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Holds
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Holds
A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit.
Holds
A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for.
Holds
About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out.
Holds