What Nathan Lambert thinks about semiconductors
Machine-learning researcher on open language models; writes the Interconnects newsletter and the RLHF Book, after leading post-training at Ai2.
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2 dated positions, 2025, in their own words. Our reading of what Nathan Lambert has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Their wordsThere's not many worlds where China cannot train AI models. I think export controls are decapping the amount of compute or the density of compute that China can have.
↗DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 6th of 44 in this recording
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Their wordsThe more progress that AI makes or the higher the derivative of AI progress is, especially because NVIDIA's in the best place, the higher the derivative is, the sooner the market's going to be bigger and expanding and NVIDIA's the only one that does everything reliably right now.
↗DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 27th of 44 in this recording