What David Heinemeier Hansson thinks about scaling laws

@dhh · 729 positions · 10 changes of mind · On ppll ↗

Creator of Ruby on Rails, CTO of 37signals, and creator of Omarchy.

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1 dated position, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what David Heinemeier Hansson has said — not written or endorsed by them.

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26 Aug 2026

Our readingLarge language models could still plateau, and that possibility should be held open even though no evidence of it has appeared.

LLMs humility

Their wordsSo we should also have the humility. As amazing as the LLMs are now, it could be that they eventually plateau. We haven't seen any evidence of it yet, and I think this is also why we're seeing this absolute gobsmacking levels of investment, because so far the scaling laws are true, and the more billions are poured in, the more intelligence comes out.

↗DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 35th of 41 in this recording