korrents

What Dario Amodei thinks about AGI

@dario-amodei · 43 positions · 0 changes of mind

Co-founder and CEO of Anthropic; previously VP of research at OpenAI.

Everything they publish, on ppll ↗

Dario Amodei did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

3 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Dario Amodei has said — not written or endorsed by them.

3 positions so far — this page is not yet offered to search engines.

  1. Our readingThe one genuine uncertainty left about AI capability is tasks nobody can verify — planning a Mars mission, discovering CRISPR, writing a novel.

    Their wordsMy one little bit, the one little bit of of fundamental uncertainty even on long time scales is this thing about tasks that aren't verifiable. Like, planning a mission to Mars, like, uh you know, doing some fundamental scientific discovery like like CRISPR, like, you know, writing a writing a novel. Hard to hard to verify those tasks.

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 5th of 29 in this recording

  3. Our readingEven a country of geniuses in a datacentre will not be an infinitely compelling product; it buys three to ten times growth a year, not instant adoption.

    Their wordsbut it's not an infinitely compelling product, and I don't think even AGI or powerful AI or country of geniuses in a data center will be an infinitely compelling product. It will be a compelling product enough maybe to get three or five or 10x a year growth even when you're in the hundreds of billions of dollars, which is extremely hard to do and has never been done in history before, but not infinitely fast.

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 8th of 29 in this recording

    data centers

  5. Our readingContinual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it.

    Their wordsI think the trillions of dollars a year market, maybe all of the national security implications and the safety implications that I wrote about in adolescence of technology can happen without it, but I I I also think we, and I imagine others, are working on it. And I think there's a good chance that that, you know, that we get there within the next year or two.

    ↗Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 11th of 29 in this recording