People who explain everything with one big idea are bad at modelling the world, and the media selects for them because they sound confident.
Stephan Guyenet Obesity researcher with a PhD in neuroscience The work of Philip Tetlock, PhD and others has shown that people who have one big idea to explain everything (“hedgehogs” or ideologues) are very bad at accurately modeling the world, predicting outcomes, and recommending effective actions. Quickly assessing the credibility of public expertsstephanguyenet.com · 30 Aug 2018All korrents from this piece
Their wordsThe work of Philip Tetlock, PhD and others has shown that people who have one big idea to explain everything (“hedgehogs” or ideologues) are very bad at accurately modeling the world, predicting outcomes, and recommending effective actions.