korrents

korrents · piece

Quickly assessing the credibility of public experts

Stephan Guyenet · 30 Aug 2018 · stephanguyenet.com

3 korrents from this piece

Stephan Guyenet did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. The work of Philip Tetlock, PhD and others has shown that people who have one big idea to explain everything (“hedgehogs” or ideologues) are very bad at accurately modeling the world, predicting outcomes, and recommending effective actions.
  2. Inability to change one’s mind is a hallmark of an irrational belief system.
  3. The likelihood that someone is providing high-quality information in these domains is lower than in less controversial areas like physics or neuroscience.