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← Within a year a model will write an entire state-of-the-art poker…

15 connected korrents · 13 moments from 12 Sept 2022 to 22 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Everything filed under computer vision computer vision Everything filed under America America Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Within a year a model will write an entire state-of-the-art poker solver in one shot — the work of a whole PhD thesis. Within a year a model will write an entirestate-of-the-art poker solver in one shot— the work of a whole PhD thesis. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: If the result replicates, intermediate poker players would likely benefit most from extra time. — tap to centre the map on it If the result replicates,intermediate poker players wouldlikely benefit most from extra time. Last stated 3 months ago 7 Aug 2026 JS Jennifer Shahade — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: The month in which AI one-shot solutions to open Erdős problems kept arriving has ended, and it was not for lack of people trying. — tap to centre the map on it The month in which AI one-shotsolutions to open Erdős problemskept arriving has ended, and it wasnot for lack of people trying. Last stated 7 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: The three-year bet about whether AI image models could handle compositionality was won in three months. — tap to centre the map on it The three-year bet about whether AIimage models could handlecompositionality was won in threemonths. Last stated 4 years ago 8 Oct 2022 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are SA Scott Alexander — no longer holds since 2022-10-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: The current lead of American models over Chinese models is approximately 6.5 months when accounting for distillation — tap to centre the map on it The current lead of American modelsover Chinese models is approximately6.5 months when accounting fordistillation Last stated 2 days ago 22 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: The performance gap between open and closed AI models has narrowed to roughly 4-6 months. — tap to centre the map on it The performance gap between open andclosed AI models has narrowed toroughly 4-6 months. Last stated a month ago 11 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model can make an existing algorithm a hundred times faster and still cannot invent a better one, however long you give it. — tap to centre the map on it A model can make an existingalgorithm a hundred times faster andstill cannot invent a better one,however long you give it. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found withGPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc thisweek. Last stated 3 days ago 21 Oct 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. — tap to centre the map on it "I don't know" becomes a kind ofsuperpower when you can work withClaude Code to figure things out. Last stated 7 months ago 19 Mar 2026 KP Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Codelast while it stays first in use ismeasuring the wrong thing, and hasbeen for a year. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A skill is a set of repeatable, specific instructions that augments what Claude Code can do. — tap to centre the map on it A skill is a set of repeatable,specific instructions that augmentswhat Claude Code can do. Last stated 7 months ago 19 Mar 2026 KP Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Within a year a model will write an entire state-of-the-art poker solver in one shot — the work of a whole PhD thesis. Last stated 26 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago Holds Noam Brown Read this korrent →