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← We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty

17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 14 Apr 2011 to 31 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under agency agency Everything filed under mental models mental models Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under optimism optimism Everything filed under Psychotherapy Psychotherapy Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty We must become more comfortable withprobability and uncertainty NS Nate Silver — holds since c. 2012 — tap for who they are Same subject: To have fun in life, one should stop avoiding risk and uncertainty. — tap to centre the map on it To have fun in life, one should stopavoiding risk and uncertainty. Last stated yesterday 31 Oct 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-10-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: Uncertainty is necessary for ambition — tap to centre the map on it Uncertainty is necessary forambition Last stated 3 years ago 25 Apr 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-04-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: The future is not determined, and it can be navigated better by understanding the likelihood of events that could affect us. — tap to centre the map on it The future is not determined, and itcan be navigated better byunderstanding the likelihood ofevents that could affect us. Last stated 8 years ago 14 May 2018 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2018-05-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Admissions of uncertainty deserve to be taken seriously — tap to centre the map on it Admissions of uncertainty deserve tobe taken seriously DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Uncertainty is good for things — tap to centre the map on it Uncertainty is good for things Last stated 12 years ago 31 Oct 2014 SK Stephen King — holds since 2014-10-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: In the mind, it is more the rule than the exception for the past to survive — tap to centre the map on it In the mind, it is more the rulethan the exception for the past tosurvive SF Sigmund Freud — holds since c. 1930 — tap for who they are Same subject: Taking more gambles improves one's ability to assess future risks and increases confidence in execution. — tap to centre the map on it Taking more gambles improves one'sability to assess future risks andincreases confidence in execution. Last stated 12 years ago 31 Jul 2014 RW Rob Walling — holds since 2014-07-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: The more we understand the complex world inside us, the less we can simply trust our inner voice — tap to centre the map on it The more we understand the complexworld inside us, the less we cansimply trust our inner voice Last stated 8 years ago 27 Apr 2019 YH Yuval Noah Harari — holds since 2019-04-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you'redying" is truer of the person thanof the company. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closerto the present day than it is to thebest futures actually available tous. Last stated a year ago 3 Aug 2025 WM William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pacesustainably without constantoverwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago 4 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A difficult problem is better thought through both forwards and backward than in one direction only. — tap to centre the map on it A difficult problem is betterthought through both forwards andbackward than in one direction only. Last stated 13 years ago 28 Oct 2013 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2013-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A few dozen mental models are enough to get a firm grasp of how the world works. — tap to centre the map on it A few dozen mental models are enoughto get a firm grasp of how the worldworks. Last stated 9 years ago by 12 Aug 2017 JC James Clear — holds since 2017-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A map is not the territory it represents, but if it is correct it shares the territory's structure, which is what makes it useful. — tap to centre the map on it A map is not the territory itrepresents, but if it is correct itshares the territory's structure,which is what makes it useful. AK Alfred Korzybski — holds since c. 1933 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. — tap to centre the map on it A business can use stewardship of acommunity publication as atop-of-funnel customer acquisitionstrategy without needing thepublication itself to generaterevenue directly. Last stated a month ago 21 Sept 2026 CC Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard — tap to centre the map on it A CEO can master both peacetime andwartime leadership, but it is hard Last stated 16 years ago 14 Apr 2011 BH Ben Horowitz — holds since 2011-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget — tap to centre the map on it A company can produce a goodcommercial without a large budget Last stated 4 years ago 21 Mar 2023 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
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At the centre We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty Last stated c. 2012 Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →