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← Warnings of an imminent US recession in 2006 are partisan gloom rather than a real signal about the economy.

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 16 Sept 2001 to 14 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about politics.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under economists economists Everything filed under product management product management Everything filed under Psychotherapy Psychotherapy Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Warnings of an imminent US recession in 2006 are partisan gloom rather than a real signal about the economy. Warnings of an imminent US recession in2006 are partisan gloom rather than a realsignal about the economy. Last stated 18 years ago 29 Nov 2008 AK Arnold Kling — holds since 2006-08-07 — tap for who they are AK Arnold Kling — no longer holds since 2008-11-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A corrupt, partisan majority on the Supreme Court has given Trump a huge amount of untrammeled power. — tap to centre the map on it A corrupt, partisan majority on theSupreme Court has given Trump a hugeamount of untrammeled power. Last stated a week ago 14 Oct 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country without cultural unity struggles to provide public goods, because its politics turns into an ethnic spoils system. — tap to centre the map on it A country without cultural unitystruggles to provide public goods,because its politics turns into anethnic spoils system. Last stated 6 months ago 9 Apr 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-04-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A culture of direct feedback and debate leads to faster decisions and quicker learning than a culture of politics and second-guessing. — tap to centre the map on it A culture of direct feedback anddebate leads to faster decisions andquicker learning than a culture ofpolitics and second-guessing. Last stated 4 years ago 22 Nov 2022 GB Gibson Biddle — holds since 2022-11-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A social system should be judged at least as much by its effects outside economics and politics as inside them — tap to centre the map on it A social system should be judged atleast as much by its effects outsideeconomics and politics as insidethem BR Bertrand Russell — holds since c. 1918 — tap for who they are Same subject: A whole class of product managers built a career on politics rather than on technical or customer skill, and that skill is now worth nothing. — tap to centre the map on it A whole class of product managersbuilt a career on politics ratherthan on technical or customer skill,and that skill is now worth nothing. Last stated 3 months ago 2 Aug 2026 TV Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: After September 11, the politics of democracy was replaced by grief management; people may grieve together but should not be stupid together — tap to centre the map on it After September 11, the politics ofdemocracy was replaced by griefmanagement; people may grievetogether but should not be stupidtogether Last stated 25 years ago 16 Sept 2001 SS Susan Sontag — holds since 2001-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI companies' pattern of NDAs, big promises, and pushing environmental costs onto poorer communities resembles dark-money capture of local politics more than a runaway-AI threat. — tap to centre the map on it AI companies' pattern of NDAs, bigpromises, and pushing environmentalcosts onto poorer communitiesresembles dark-money capture oflocal politics more than arunaway-AI threat. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 JS Jasmine Sun — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is transforming U.S. politics and has inspired more hate across a wider political spectrum than any other technology — tap to centre the map on it AI is transforming U.S. politics andhas inspired more hate across awider political spectrum than anyother technology Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. — tap to centre the map on it A city's first rail line comes in ata reasonable cost and every lineafter it does not, because thefollow-up outgrows the in-house teamthat oversaw the pilot. Last stated 2 years ago 7 Dec 2024 AL Alon Levy — holds since 2024-12-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus. — tap to centre the map on it Among the leading candidates forgreatest economist of all time, AdamSmith was analytically the weakest,save perhaps Malthus. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing. — tap to centre the map on it An inability to see the viewpointsof people unlike oneself is agenuine weakness in a socialscientist, not merely a separatemoral failing. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Aspiring economists should take as many math and statistics courses as they can stomach — tap to centre the map on it Aspiring economists should take asmany math and statistics courses asthey can stomach Last stated 20 years ago 23 May 2006 GM Greg Mankiw — holds since 2006-05-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probablydo little for U.S. affordability,would deter business investment, andwould weaken America's hand againstChina on energy. Last stated 4 weeks ago 24 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in playcannot judge in a blink; they reason'on the one hand, and on the other'and must reconcile the conflictingarguments. Last stated 14 years ago 6 Dec 2012 PT Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capabilitylead by either the US or China couldshift the global balance of powerbetween them. Last stated 2 months ago 5 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2001 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Warnings of an imminent US recession in 2006 are partisan gloom rather than a real signal about the economy. Last stated 29 Nov 2008 · 18 years ago No longer holds Arnold Kling Read this korrent →