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← Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 27 May 2015 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
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documentation
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under religion
religion
Everything filed under design
design
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under agency
agency
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options. Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Apr 2024
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2024-04-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When faced with a tradeoff, pick the ambition-maximizing direction. — tap to centre the map on it When faced with a tradeoff, pick the ambition-maximizing direction. Last stated 3 months ago
19 Aug 2026
SW
Scott Wu — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones. — tap to centre the map on it Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones. Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Better decisions come from committing to a choice with scheduled points to reassess it, not from waiting for certainty. — tap to centre the map on it Better decisions come from committing to a choice with scheduled points to reassess it, not from waiting for certainty. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jul 2026
CD
Charles Duhigg — holds since 2026-07-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Now is the chance to choose the right side, and that chance will not last for ever — tap to centre the map on it Now is the chance to choose the right side, and that chance will not last for ever
CL
C. S. Lewis — holds since c. 1942–1952 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Design is kind of going to turn into making more successful decisions. — tap to centre the map on it Design is kind of going to turn into making more successful decisions. Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
CD
Charlie Deets — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. — tap to centre the map on it When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength. — tap to centre the map on it The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs. — tap to centre the map on it The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs. Last stated 7 months ago
10 Apr 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago
4 Nov 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Achievement is wonderful when you know why you pursue it, and a trap when you do not — tap to centre the map on it Achievement is wonderful when you know why you pursue it, and a trap when you do not Last stated 11 years ago
27 May 2015
NP
Natalie Portman — holds since 2015-05-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is not a limited-time sale: the people furthest along are working harder than ever, and they need to stop harvesting dopamine as if it ends in two weeks. — tap to centre the map on it AI is not a limited-time sale: the people furthest along are working harder than ever, and they need to stop harvesting dopamine as if it ends in two weeks. Last stated 7 months ago
8 Apr 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An unstarted, unresolved task is more mentally exhausting than almost any other kind of task. — tap to centre the map on it An unstarted, unresolved task is more mentally exhausting than almost any other kind of task. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Sept 2026
GR
Gretchen Rubin — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. — tap to centre the map on it A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A discovery you can see your way through to is impossible to abandon, even out of a real fear that it will be misused. — tap to centre the map on it A discovery you can see your way through to is impossible to abandon, even out of a real fear that it will be misused. Last stated 2 years ago
5 May 2025
JL
Janna Levin — holds since 2025-05-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest — tap to centre the map on it A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest Last stated 2 years ago
8 Jun 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-06-08 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options.
Holds Read this korrent →
When faced with a tradeoff, pick the ambition-maximizing direction.
Holds
Keeping track of decisions and how they turned out allows later evaluation of the procedures that produced the good and the bad ones.
Holds
Better decisions come from committing to a choice with scheduled points to reassess it, not from waiting for certainty.
Holds
Now is the chance to choose the right side, and that chance will not last for ever
Last stated c. 1942–1952
Holds
Design is kind of going to turn into making more successful decisions.
Holds
When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over.
Holds
The best in the world make consistently good decisions largely because circumstances rarely force a decision on them, as they almost always operate from a position of strength.
Holds
The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress
Holds
Achievement is wonderful when you know why you pursue it, and a trap when you do not
Holds
AI is not a limited-time sale: the people furthest along are working harder than ever, and they need to stop harvesting dopamine as if it ends in two weeks.
Holds
An unstarted, unresolved task is more mentally exhausting than almost any other kind of task.
Holds
A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer.
Holds
A discovery you can see your way through to is impossible to abandon, even out of a real fear that it will be misused.
Holds
A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest
Holds