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← Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 8 Nov 2011 to 26 Jul 2026.
Everything filed under design
design
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
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simplicity
Everything filed under ambition
ambition Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options. Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Apr 2024
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2024-04-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. — tap to centre the map on it When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. — tap to centre the map on it The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. Last stated 15 years ago
8 Nov 2011
BV
Bret Victor — holds since 2011-11-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it. — tap to centre the map on it Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. — tap to centre the map on it Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. — tap to centre the map on it As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. Last stated a year ago
14 May 2025
DS
Derek Sivers — holds since 2025-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. — tap to centre the map on it We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves. — tap to centre the map on it Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A habit has to be established before it can be improved, so standardizing a behavior comes before optimizing it. — tap to centre the map on it A habit has to be established before it can be improved, so standardizing a behavior comes before optimizing it. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A blank chat box is lazy: it violates the first rule of a good user experience, that it is obvious what you can do. — tap to centre the map on it A blank chat box is lazy: it violates the first rule of a good user experience, that it is obvious what you can do. Last stated a year ago
12 May 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-05-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. — tap to centre the map on it A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. Last stated 9 months ago
12 Dec 2025
IF
Irving Finkel — holds since 2025-12-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company deserves everyone in it, the chief executive included, to spend as much time as possible in their zone of genius — which is an org design problem. — tap to centre the map on it A company deserves everyone in it, the chief executive included, to spend as much time as possible in their zone of genius — which is an org design problem. Last stated a year ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A group of businesses only works when every one of them feeds the others, and everything that does not fit the strategy should be sold. — tap to centre the map on it A group of businesses only works when every one of them feeds the others, and everything that does not fit the strategy should be sold. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: After a decade of Swiss minimalism, design is about to swing back to something far more expressive. — tap to centre the map on it After a decade of Swiss minimalism, design is about to swing back to something far more expressive. Last stated 11 months ago
16 Oct 2025
DF
Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much. — tap to centre the map on it AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Jul 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-07-26 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options.
Holds Read this korrent →
When two options are almost perfectly balanced the choice does not matter, and those are exactly the decisions people agonize over.
Holds
The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund.
Holds
Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it.
Holds
Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future.
Holds
As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed.
Holds
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Holds
Expected value cannot decide the once-only decisions, because you know neither the probabilities nor the shape of their curves.
Holds
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
A habit has to be established before it can be improved, so standardizing a behavior comes before optimizing it.
Holds
A blank chat box is lazy: it violates the first rule of a good user experience, that it is obvious what you can do.
Holds
A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it.
Holds
A company deserves everyone in it, the chief executive included, to spend as much time as possible in their zone of genius — which is an org design problem.
Holds
A group of businesses only works when every one of them feeds the others, and everything that does not fit the strategy should be sold.
Holds
After a decade of Swiss minimalism, design is about to swing back to something far more expressive.
Holds
AI acceleration threatens 'less software': without the constraint of scarce hours, even 37signals will likely build too much.
Holds