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← Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data.

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 3 Oct 2012 to 4 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under creativity creativity Everything filed under simplicity simplicity Everything filed under taste taste Everything filed under mental models mental models Everything filed under design design Everything filed under ambition ambition Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data. Thinking is criticising and correctingpartly true guesses, not extrapolatingfrom sense data. Last stated 14 years ago 3 Oct 2012 DD David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A large fraction of what the people around you believe is mistaken, and nobody is going to teach you to think for yourself. — tap to centre the map on it A large fraction of what the peoplearound you believe is mistaken, andnobody is going to teach you tothink for yourself. Last stated 8 years ago by 5 Jul 2018 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2018-07-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Probabilistic thinking, estimating the likelihood of outcomes, is one of the best tools for improving the accuracy of decisions. — tap to centre the map on it Probabilistic thinking, estimatingthe likelihood of outcomes, is oneof the best tools for improving theaccuracy of decisions. Last stated 8 years ago 14 May 2018 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2018-05-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision hasdiminishing returns because realityis inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago 22 Feb 2022 NN Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Thinking in probabilities means roughly identifying what matters, getting a sense of the odds, checking assumptions, and then deciding. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking in probabilities meansroughly identifying what matters,getting a sense of the odds,checking assumptions, and thendeciding. Last stated 8 years ago 14 May 2018 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2018-05-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: The best systems thinkers think not just about their feature but about how it extends the system. — tap to centre the map on it The best systems thinkers think notjust about their feature but abouthow it extends the system. Last stated 6 months ago 8 Apr 2026 IS Ian Silber — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Systems thinking will never go out of style, so going all in on words at the expense of rigorous quantitative thinking is a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it Systems thinking will never go outof style, so going all in on wordsat the expense of rigorousquantitative thinking is a mistake. Last stated 2 months ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A thought experiment serves to encourage speculation and logical thinking and to change paradigms. — tap to centre the map on it A thought experiment serves toencourage speculation and logicalthinking and to change paradigms. Last stated 5 years ago 1 Feb 2022 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2022-02-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Design thinking is practised by all great thinkers, but design is the one field that tries to teach it as a systematic method rather than leave it to the exceptional. — tap to centre the map on it Design thinking is practised by allgreat thinkers, but design is theone field that tries to teach it asa systematic method rather thanleave it to the exceptional. Last stated 14 years ago 19 Mar 2013 DN Don Norman — holds since 2013-03-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business is more likely to fail from taking on too much complexity than from lacking resources. — tap to centre the map on it A business is more likely to failfrom taking on too much complexitythan from lacking resources. Last stated 8 years ago 29 Sept 2018 TG Tren Griffin — holds since 2018-09-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones. — tap to centre the map on it A business succeeds through a smallnumber of highly effectivedistribution channels, not manymediocre ones. Last stated 3 years ago 17 Feb 2024 AW Adam Wiggins — holds since 2024-02-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A candidate negotiating an offer should make every ask fit one line of logic. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate negotiating an offershould make every ask fit one lineof logic. Last stated 2 months ago 9 Aug 2026 AW Adam Ward — holds since 2026-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it. — tap to centre the map on it A big part of taste is deliveringhigh levels of craft in anaccessible way so that as manypeople as possible can experienceit. Last stated 6 months ago 21 Apr 2026 BJ Brandon Jacoby — holds since 2026-04-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers. — tap to centre the map on it A company name can have differentappeal to corporate buyers versustheir customers. Last stated 6 days ago 4 Oct 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it A first draft should not be gradedgood or bad; it is only the materialthat taste then gets to act on. Last stated 2 months ago 6 Aug 2026 GS George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feeling of responsibility is probably the greatest inhibitor of creativity; great ideas came from people not paid to have them — tap to centre the map on it A feeling of responsibility isprobably the greatest inhibitor ofcreativity; great ideas came frompeople not paid to have them IA Isaac Asimov — holds since c. 1959 — tap for who they are Same subject: A free-wheeling, anarchic neural organization may be the secret of human creativity, at the price of susceptibility to mental illness — tap to centre the map on it A free-wheeling, anarchic neuralorganization may be the secret ofhuman creativity, at the price ofsusceptibility to mental illness Last stated 14 years ago 8 Jan 2013 DD Daniel Dennett — holds since 2013-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A person who works from a recipe, even an innovative one, starts from something that already exists. — tap to centre the map on it A person who works from a recipe,even an innovative one, starts fromsomething that already exists. Last stated 11 years ago 6 Nov 2015 TU Tim Urban — holds since 2015-11-06 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data. Last stated 3 Oct 2012 · 14 years ago Holds David Deutsch Read this korrent →