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← The NCA5 mischaracterizes the RCP8.5 scenario as a likely outcome when…
17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 18 Mar 2024 to 21 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
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scaling laws
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climate change
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Read this korrent: The NCA5 mischaracterizes the RCP8.5 scenario as a likely outcome when it is actually an implausible and falsified scenario.
The NCA5 mischaracterizes the RCP8.5 scenario as a likely outcome when it is actually an implausible and falsified scenario.
Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Climate models may be underestimating how much future warming will occur. — tap to centre the map on it
Climate models may be underestimating how much future warming will occur.
Last stated 2 months ago
4 Sept 2026
AD
Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The new CMIP7 climate scenarios can be used to reintroduce the implausible RCP8.5 scenario into climate science and policy discussions. — tap to centre the map on it
The new CMIP7 climate scenarios can be used to reintroduce the implausible RCP8.5 scenario into climate science and policy discussions.
Last stated a month ago
23 Sept 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) is beyond fixing due to systemic and irreparable problems. — tap to centre the map on it
The Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5) is beyond fixing due to systemic and irreparable problems.
Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The NCA5 fails to accurately represent the scientific literature by cherry-picking and misrepresenting data. — tap to centre the map on it
The NCA5 fails to accurately represent the scientific literature by cherry-picking and misrepresenting data.
Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The CMIP7 scenario extensions are not intended to represent plausible future forecasts. — tap to centre the map on it
The CMIP7 scenario extensions are not intended to represent plausible future forecasts.
Last stated a month ago
23 Sept 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The extreme worst-case future becoming unlikely does not mean climate change is chill now. — tap to centre the map on it
The extreme worst-case future becoming unlikely does not mean climate change is chill now.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
8 Oct 2026
EA
Emily Atkin — holds since 2026-10-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The CMIP7 HIGH scenario presented out to 2150 is essentially a repackaged version of RCP8.5. — tap to centre the map on it
The CMIP7 HIGH scenario presented out to 2150 is essentially a repackaged version of RCP8.5.
Last stated a month ago
23 Sept 2026
RJ
Roger Pielke Jr. — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Judging one model worse than another from a one-shot, probabilistic output on a given day is not a good way to evaluate it. — tap to centre the map on it
Judging one model worse than another from a one-shot, probabilistic output on a given day is not a good way to evaluate it.
Last stated 5 months ago
19 May 2026
TG
Tommy Geoco — holds since 2026-05-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it
A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week.
Last stated a week ago
21 Oct 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Last stated 9 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it
"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it
A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number.
Last stated 4 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it
A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from.
Last stated 8 months ago
13 Mar 2026
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are