The AI coding tools only recently became good enough to change the answer: after years of hating them, most of this codebase is now written by AI.

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• Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before. AKAndrej Karpathy17 Oct 2025similar wording
• There is a world where AI coding tools change nothing except that engineers are happier, and for a lot of companies that is not good enough to keep paying for. DRDax Raad27 May 2026similar wording
• AI writes code well only where a million repositories have already written it; getting it to do something genuinely new remains notoriously hard. TSTim Sweeney30 Apr 2025similar wording
• AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. JDJeff Dean30 Jul 2026similar wording
• AI has moved the programmer's bottleneck from writing code to having good design ideas, and there is no verification loop for a design idea. MNMichael Nielsen7 Apr 2026similar wording

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