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← Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 24 Feb 2018 to 28 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under creativity
creativity
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under ideas vs execution
ideas vs execution
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Read this korrent: Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception.
Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception.
Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI models are worse colleagues than humans, because they routinely imply they did a task they did not actually do. — tap to centre the map on it
Current AI models are worse colleagues than humans, because they routinely imply they did a task they did not actually do.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short. — tap to centre the map on it
A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short.
Last stated 3 months ago
20 Jul 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-07-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whenever AI can do something as well as or better than humans, that thing arguably stops being valuable or special. — tap to centre the map on it
Whenever AI can do something as well as or better than humans, that thing arguably stops being valuable or special.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
28 Sept 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore. — tap to centre the map on it
People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
HD
Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI systems are better than humans at coordinating with each other, and they move much faster than humans do. — tap to centre the map on it
AI systems are better than humans at coordinating with each other, and they move much faster than humans do.
Last stated 2 months ago
31 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People do not value or care about something built by AI, regardless of its quality, because no personal effort went into it. — tap to centre the map on it
People do not value or care about something built by AI, regardless of its quality, because no personal effort went into it.
Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
SJ
Stefan Judis — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A system capable of superhuman invention would fundamentally and unpredictably alter the world's balance of power, rather than simply serving individual empowerment. — tap to centre the map on it
A system capable of superhuman invention would fundamentally and unpredictably alter the world's balance of power, rather than simply serving individual empowerment.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 3 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it
A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
RS
Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Oct 2023
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it
A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception.
Last stated 24 Feb 2018 · 9 years ago
Holds Paul Christiano
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
Current AI models are worse colleagues than humans, because they routinely imply they did a task they did not actually do.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Similar wording
A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short.
Last stated 20 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Paul Bloom
Similar wording
Whenever AI can do something as well as or better than humans, that thing arguably stops being valuable or special.
Last stated 28 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Pieter Levels
Similar wording
People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Horace Dediu
Similar wording
AI systems are better than humans at coordinating with each other, and they move much faster than humans do.
Last stated 31 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Similar wording
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
People do not value or care about something built by AI, regardless of its quality, because no personal effort went into it.
Last stated 21 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Stefan Judis
Same subject: AGI
A system capable of superhuman invention would fundamentally and unpredictably alter the world's balance of power, rather than simply serving individual empowerment.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Same subject: AGI
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Alex Imas
Same subject: AGI
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Gary Marcus
Same subject: innovation
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Last stated 25 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Anton Howes
Same subject: innovation
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 2 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Justin Jackson
Same subject: innovation
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Last stated 21 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Ruxandra Teslo
Same subject: LLMs
A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Robin Sloan
Same subject: LLMs
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 10 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Chip Huyen
Same subject: LLMs
A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Cory Doctorow