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← Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 24 Feb 2018 to 28 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under creativity creativity Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under ideas vs execution ideas vs execution Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception. Technologies are almost always preceded byslightly worse versions of themselves, andthere is no reason for AI to be theexception. Last stated 9 years ago 24 Feb 2018 PC Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI isprobably possible, but it is noteven desirable, because it is ahard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current AI models are worse colleagues than humans, because they routinely imply they did a task they did not actually do. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI models are worsecolleagues than humans, because theyroutinely imply they did a task theydid not actually do. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short. — tap to centre the map on it A new technology is judged againstperfection rather than against thething it would replace, which is whyit always comes up short. Last stated 3 months ago 20 Jul 2026 PB Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-07-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Whenever AI can do something as well as or better than humans, that thing arguably stops being valuable or special. — tap to centre the map on it Whenever AI can do something as wellas or better than humans, that thingarguably stops being valuable orspecial. Last stated 4 weeks ago 28 Sept 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore. — tap to centre the map on it People have grown accustomed to AIbeing non-deterministic andoccasionally wrong, so it carrieslittle brand risk anymore. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 HD Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI systems are better than humans at coordinating with each other, and they move much faster than humans do. — tap to centre the map on it AI systems are better than humans atcoordinating with each other, andthey move much faster than humansdo. Last stated 2 months ago 31 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands theconsequences of how capable AI isbecoming. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: People do not value or care about something built by AI, regardless of its quality, because no personal effort went into it. — tap to centre the map on it People do not value or care aboutsomething built by AI, regardless ofits quality, because no personaleffort went into it. Last stated a month ago 21 Sept 2026 SJ Stefan Judis — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A system capable of superhuman invention would fundamentally and unpredictably alter the world's balance of power, rather than simply serving individual empowerment. — tap to centre the map on it A system capable of superhumaninvention would fundamentally andunpredictably alter the world'sbalance of power, rather than simplyserving individual empowerment. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked itout by trial and error" is never thereal story of an invention: oncloser investigation, identifiablepeople always turn out to beresponsible. Last stated 3 years ago 25 Oct 2023 AH Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, realadvantages, and sustained effortbehind a hard product and still failif it doesn't give customers astrong enough reason to switch fromwhat they already use. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 JJ Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not thesame as a capability being absorbed:how fast a technology changes theworld is not set by how fast thetechnology improves. Last stated 3 months ago 21 Jul 2026 RT Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A minor bust in the AI industry would be a good thing, not a bad one. — tap to centre the map on it A minor bust in the AI industrywould be a good thing, not a badone. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 RS Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it A model that could learn effectivelyfrom raw bitstrings or bytestringswould be extremely powerful, able tolearn from any data modality Last stated 3 years ago 10 Oct 2023 CH Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A system trained only on what is already known cannot produce genuine surprises, because a known thing stops being a surprise. — tap to centre the map on it A system trained only on what isalready known cannot produce genuinesurprises, because a known thingstops being a surprise. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Technologies are almost always preceded by slightly worse versions of themselves, and there is no reason for AI to be the exception. Last stated 24 Feb 2018 · 9 years ago Holds Paul Christiano Read this korrent →