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← Pursuing a very low success-rate strategy can still be rational if a rare win is valuable enough.
17 connected korrents · 18 moments on record from 18 Aug 2011 to 10 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
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family
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motivation
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innovation
Everything filed under quantum mechanics
quantum mechanics Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Pursuing a very low success-rate strategy can still be rational if a rare win is valuable enough. Pursuing a very low success-rate strategy can still be rational if a rare win is valuable enough. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aim for moonshots: they attract the best people, leave you the path to yourself, and even sixty to eighty percent of one is a terrific success. — tap to centre the map on it Aim for moonshots: they attract the best people, leave you the path to yourself, and even sixty to eighty percent of one is a terrific success. Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
SP
Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Money cannot make up for meeting a partner late, because the years in which a couple can have children have already gone. — tap to centre the map on it Money cannot make up for meeting a partner late, because the years in which a couple can have children have already gone. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Relying more and more on one's existing strengths eventually stops being a winning strategy. — tap to centre the map on it Relying more and more on one's existing strengths eventually stops being a winning strategy. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Dec 2025
BT
Brandon Taylor — holds since 2025-12-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Burning your bridges to force yourself forward is worth what it costs. — tap to centre the map on it Burning your bridges to force yourself forward is worth what it costs. Last stated 3 years ago
20 Apr 2023
DS
Derek Sivers — no longer holds since 2023-04-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Always try your stupid ideas when the experiment is cheap and reversible, because the one that works has no competition. — tap to centre the map on it Always try your stupid ideas when the experiment is cheap and reversible, because the one that works has no competition. Last stated 3 months ago
1 Jul 2026
KB
Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Going slowly through life is no guarantee that things will work out. — tap to centre the map on it Going slowly through life is no guarantee that things will work out. Last stated 2 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
AH
Ava Huang — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve. — tap to centre the map on it Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Rate of iteration separates success from failure: a competitor learning one thing a month will never matter to a company learning one thing a week. — tap to centre the map on it Rate of iteration separates success from failure: a competitor learning one thing a month will never matter to a company learning one thing a week. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated a year ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped distant strangers instead of the people around them, and that world would be worse. — tap to centre the map on it A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped distant strangers instead of the people around them, and that world would be worse. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An athlete who moves his family across the country for a few million dollars more is trading a life that loves him for money that will not improve it. — tap to centre the map on it An athlete who moves his family across the country for a few million dollars more is trading a life that loves him for money that will not improve it. Last stated 9 months ago
15 Dec 2025
ML
Michael Lewis — holds since 2025-12-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Attitude, not the surrounding circumstances, determines how hard parenting feels. — tap to centre the map on it Attitude, not the surrounding circumstances, determines how hard parenting feels. Last stated a year ago
18 Sept 2025
NE
Nat Eliason — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. — tap to centre the map on it A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Pursuing a very low success-rate strategy can still be rational if a rare win is valuable enough.
Holds Read this korrent →
Aim for moonshots: they attract the best people, leave you the path to yourself, and even sixty to eighty percent of one is a terrific success.
Holds
Money cannot make up for meeting a partner late, because the years in which a couple can have children have already gone.
Holds
Relying more and more on one's existing strengths eventually stops being a winning strategy.
Holds
Burning your bridges to force yourself forward is worth what it costs.
No longer holds
Always try your stupid ideas when the experiment is cheap and reversible, because the one that works has no competition.
Holds
Going slowly through life is no guarantee that things will work out.
Holds
Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve.
Holds
Rate of iteration separates success from failure: a competitor learning one thing a month will never matter to a company learning one thing a week.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it.
Holds
A world where altruists followed expected-value estimates would be one where nearly all of them helped distant strangers instead of the people around them, and that world would be worse.
Holds
An athlete who moves his family across the country for a few million dollars more is trading a life that loves him for money that will not improve it.
Holds
Attitude, not the surrounding circumstances, determines how hard parenting feels.
Holds
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Holds
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Holds
A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline.
Holds