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← OpenAI's 2022 bet on GPT-4 was a larger gamble than any training run…

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 4 Nov 2022 to 21 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about Google and OpenAI.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under chat interfaces chat interfaces Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: OpenAI's 2022 bet on GPT-4 was a larger gamble than any training run since: all of its compute, for months, on an architecture nobody at Google believed in. OpenAI's 2022 bet on GPT-4 was a largergamble than any training run since: all ofits compute, for months, on anarchitecture nobody at Google believed in. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Agents are going to be incorporated into mainstream interfaces — tap to centre the map on it Agents are going to be incorporatedinto mainstream interfaces Last stated 7 months ago 25 Mar 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Chatbot interfaces are the wrong tool for meaningful coding work, because you are mostly hoping the model recalls the right answer and correcting it requires a human in the loop. — tap to centre the map on it Chatbot interfaces are the wrongtool for meaningful coding work,because you are mostly hoping themodel recalls the right answer andcorrecting it requires a human inthe loop. Last stated 9 months ago 5 Feb 2026 MH Mitchell Hashimoto — holds since 2026-02-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Frontier AI models are consolidating into an oligopoly held by a small number of large players. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI models are consolidatinginto an oligopoly held by a smallnumber of large players. Last stated 3 years ago 21 Feb 2024 EG Elad Gil — holds since 2024-02-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Google had the data, the technology and the engineers to ship ChatGPT in 2019, and bureaucracy alone is why it did not. — tap to centre the map on it Google had the data, the technologyand the engineers to ship ChatGPT in2019, and bureaucracy alone is whyit did not. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Aug 2024 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2024-08-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Google is behind in the personal AI assistant space. — tap to centre the map on it Google is behind in the personal AIassistant space. Last stated a month ago 21 Sept 2026 MS M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Many employees at major AI labs earnestly believe humans may go extinct by the end of the decade. — tap to centre the map on it Many employees at major AI labsearnestly believe humans may goextinct by the end of the decade. Last stated a month ago 11 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: New AI-first applications will emerge in 2024, shifting the focus up the stack. — tap to centre the map on it New AI-first applications willemerge in 2024, shifting the focusup the stack. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Jan 2024 FW Fred Wilson — holds since 2024-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The moral debt for AI's capabilities is owed to the authors of the public data used to train it, not to the AI companies. — tap to centre the map on it The moral debt for AI's capabilitiesis owed to the authors of the publicdata used to train it, not to the AIcompanies. Last stated 6 months ago 3 May 2026 YX Yihui Xie — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you'redying" is truer of the person thanof the company. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closerto the present day than it is to thebest futures actually available tous. Last stated a year ago 3 Aug 2025 WM William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pacesustainably without constantoverwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago 4 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
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At the centre OpenAI's 2022 bet on GPT-4 was a larger gamble than any training run since: all of its compute, for months, on an architecture nobody at Google believed in. Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago Holds Dylan Patel Read this korrent →