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← On any given problem an AI tool succeeds maybe one or two percent of…

17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 15 Jul 2021 to 17 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI and science AI and science Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: On any given problem an AI tool succeeds maybe one or two percent of the time; the headline results are what running it at scale and picking the winners looks like. On any given problem an AI tool succeedsmaybe one or two percent of the time; theheadline results are what running it atscale and picking the winners looks like. Last stated 7 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Today's AI tools either solve a problem or fail at it, and are really bad at partial progress or at identifying which intermediate step to attack first. — tap to centre the map on it Today's AI tools either solve aproblem or fail at it, and arereally bad at partial progress or atidentifying which intermediate stepto attack first. Last stated 7 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: The trouble with AI as a development tool is that it is overconfident in what it delivers, and its hit rate is nowhere near good enough. — tap to centre the map on it The trouble with AI as a developmenttool is that it is overconfident inwhat it delivers, and its hit rateis nowhere near good enough. Last stated 7 months ago 11 Mar 2026 JK Jeff Kaplan — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low. — tap to centre the map on it The error rate of these AI-generatedmathematical results is impressivelylow. Last stated 2 weeks ago 9 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI helps exactly as far as the work is predictable and well documented, and stops helping on anything cutting edge. — tap to centre the map on it AI helps exactly as far as the workis predictable and well documented,and stops helping on anythingcutting edge. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI tools for product work only work if they understand the organisation's context. — tap to centre the map on it AI tools for product work only workif they understand theorganisation's context. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 TY Tamar Yehoshua — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI cannot get a product to the quality bar on its own, because it still works in the realm of averages. — tap to centre the map on it AI cannot get a product to thequality bar on its own, because itstill works in the realm ofaverages. Last stated a year ago 16 Oct 2025 DF Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: The most underused thing AI does is teach you: people reach for it to write their code and forget it can take them through a curriculum in an hour. — tap to centre the map on it The most underused thing AI does isteach you: people reach for it towrite their code and forget it cantake them through a curriculum in anhour. Last stated a year ago 21 Sept 2025 JZ Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: The technical core of the AI industry lacks a high hit rate for predicting model success in real-world usage. — tap to centre the map on it The technical core of the AIindustry lacks a high hit rate forpredicting model success inreal-world usage. Last stated 6 days ago 17 Oct 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic. — tap to centre the map on it A compound's AI origin story is notby itself a reason to expect it todo better in the clinic. Last stated 2 years ago 13 May 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational discovery platform does not make a biotech fast, because the thousand other steps of drug development are still the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it A computational discovery platformdoes not make a biotech fast,because the thousand other steps ofdrug development are still thebottleneck. Last stated 2 years ago 17 Sept 2024 AT Alex Telford — holds since 2024-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computational method can regularly predict protein structures with atomic accuracy even when no similar structure is known. — tap to centre the map on it A computational method can regularlypredict protein structures withatomic accuracy even when no similarstructure is known. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Accurate computational approaches are needed to close the protein structural coverage gap and enable large-scale structural bioinformatics. — tap to centre the map on it Accurate computational approachesare needed to close the proteinstructural coverage gap and enablelarge-scale structuralbioinformatics. Last stated 5 years ago 15 Jul 2021 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2021-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI models can be more accurate than physical experiments by averaging out noise, incorporating priors from large datasets, and interpolating between data points. — tap to centre the map on it AI models can be more accurate thanphysical experiments by averagingout noise, incorporating priors fromlarge datasets, and interpolatingbetween data points. Last stated 11 months ago 23 Nov 2025 EH Elliot Hershberg — holds since 2025-11-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will not produce a big breakthrough in biological understanding any time soon, because biology has nothing like the clean, complete, high-quality data that made protein-structure prediction work. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not produce a bigbreakthrough in biologicalunderstanding any time soon, becausebiology has nothing like the clean,complete, high-quality data thatmade protein-structure predictionwork. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Sept 2024 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2024-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI could compete with human mathematicians once it acquires a mathematical sense of smell: knowing which way of splitting a problem makes it easier rather than harder. — tap to centre the map on it AI could compete with humanmathematicians once it acquires amathematical sense of smell: knowingwhich way of splitting a problemmakes it easier rather than harder. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI excels at breadth and human experts at depth, which makes them complementary and makes today's depth-focused way of doing science the wrong shape. — tap to centre the map on it AI excels at breadth and humanexperts at depth, which makes themcomplementary and makes today'sdepth-focused way of doing sciencethe wrong shape. Last stated 7 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI in chess and mathematics does not explain anything; it says which position is better, and humans build the theory from that. — tap to centre the map on it AI in chess and mathematics does notexplain anything; it says whichposition is better, and humans buildthe theory from that. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are
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At the centre On any given problem an AI tool succeeds maybe one or two percent of the time; the headline results are what running it at scale and picking the winners looks like. Last stated 20 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago Holds Terence Tao Read this korrent →