Long-run GDP charts hide what matters: technologies are contingent and path dependent, so the same number can describe economies that work in entirely different ways.

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Our reading — they may agree, disagree or merely touch the same thing. Closest first: a shared subject counts for most, then how near the wording is.

• Only a handful of countries can do high technology at all, because industrial capability is path-dependent and the initial conditions are very hard to get right. DWDan Wang1 Jan 2020similar wording
• We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. AKAndrej Karpathy17 Oct 2025similar wording
• What decides a country's fortunes is not owning the leading sector but using the leading technology to create its own comparative advantage. SNSatya Nadella12 Nov 2025similar wording
• History has no predetermined path: its course turns on unpredictable contingencies rather than on deep currents that would have produced the same outcome anyway. BDBret Devereaux26 Aug 2022similar wording
• Most macroeconomic models cannot describe the AI transition, because they assume a single output that converts one-for-one into capital or consumption. PTPhil Trammell4 Jun 2026similar wording

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