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← Humanity can take its finger off the scale of technological progress any time it wants.
17 connected korrents · 18 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 14 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under America
America
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Humanity can take its finger off the scale of technological progress any time it wants. Humanity can take its finger off the scale of technological progress any time it wants. Last stated yesterday
14 Sept 2026
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: For the whole of human history the bottleneck on progress has been getting a group of smart people together around a shared goal. — tap to centre the map on it For the whole of human history the bottleneck on progress has been getting a group of smart people together around a shared goal. Last stated 2 months ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The way we make things is out of tune with the time dimension of the natural world, and that has to change even if it means designing on the scale of centuries. — tap to centre the map on it The way we make things is out of tune with the time dimension of the natural world, and that has to change even if it means designing on the scale of centuries. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Sept 2023
NO
Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. — tap to centre the map on it Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take. Last stated 5 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MN
Michael Nielsen — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate. — tap to centre the map on it AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate. Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute. Last stated 6 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 4 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. Last stated a week ago
7 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 3 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. Last stated a year ago
15 May 2025
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms. — tap to centre the map on it A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms. Last stated 4 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Humanity can take its finger off the scale of technological progress any time it wants.
Holds SA Scott AlexanderRead this korrent →
Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
For the whole of human history the bottleneck on progress has been getting a group of smart people together around a shared goal.
Holds AW Alexandr Wang
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
The way we make things is out of tune with the time dimension of the natural world, and that has to change even if it means designing on the scale of centuries.
Holds NO Neri Oxman
Technological determinism is only believable low down the tech tree; higher up we already choose which paths not to take.
Holds MN Michael Nielsen
AI takeover is not the thing to worry about: physical constraints bound recursive self-improvement, and humans reliably act once a risk becomes immediate.
Holds NL Nathan Lambert
Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute.
Holds JH Jensen Huang
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Holds AE Alice Evans
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Holds IS Ilya Sutskever
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds GM Gary Marcus
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds CH Casey HandmerEB Eric Berger
A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation.
Holds KJ Keyu Jin
A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade.
Holds PK Paul Krugman
A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for.
Holds SP Sarah Paine
A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it.
Holds HR Hannah Ritchie
A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms.
Holds EB Eric Berger