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← Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline.
17 connected korrents · 11 moments on record from 1 Jun 2022 to 1 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about demographics .
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religion Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline. Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. — tap to centre the map on it The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
JB
Jennifer Burns — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated 2 weeks ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. — tap to centre the map on it Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. — tap to centre the map on it Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity. — tap to centre the map on it Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job. — tap to centre the map on it Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. — tap to centre the map on it A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
RB
Radley Balko — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country that builds a national health service becomes more aware of its own existence, because the experience of solidarity is what makes a nation real. — tap to centre the map on it A country that builds a national health service becomes more aware of its own existence, because the experience of solidarity is what makes a nation real. Last stated a week ago
30 Aug 2026
TS
Timothy Snyder — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. Last stated 2 weeks ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. Last stated 2 weeks ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science. — tap to centre the map on it Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The late stage of the Big Debt Cycle shows itself as long rates leading rates up, the currency falling against gold, and the treasury shortening maturities. — tap to centre the map on it The late stage of the Big Debt Cycle shows itself as long rates leading rates up, the currency falling against gold, and the treasury shortening maturities. Last stated 2 weeks ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline.
Holds AE Alice EvansRead this korrent →
The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible.
Holds JB Jennifer Burns
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Holds RB Ryan Burge
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Holds AE Alice Evans
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity.
Holds AE Alice Evans
Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job.
Holds LP Lant Pritchett
A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it.
Holds RB Radley Balko
A country that builds a national health service becomes more aware of its own existence, because the experience of solidarity is what makes a nation real.
Holds TS Timothy Snyder
A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement.
Holds
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Holds
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Holds
Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science.
Holds
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Holds
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Holds
The late stage of the Big Debt Cycle shows itself as long rates leading rates up, the currency falling against gold, and the treasury shortening maturities.
Holds