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← Frontier labs are incentivised toward fear because it justifies…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 14 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under open source
open source
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Everything filed under AGI
AGI Cannot both be true Cannot both be true In tension Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Frontier labs are incentivised toward fear because it justifies staying closed, which leaves open-source advocates rooting for Chinese labs. Frontier labs are incentivised toward fear because it justifies staying closed, which leaves open-source advocates rooting for Chinese labs. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
NR
Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Cannot both be true: Experts on the governance of superintelligence systematically self-censored about serious AI risk to avoid being labelled doomers. — tap to centre the map on it Experts on the governance of superintelligence systematically self-censored about serious AI risk to avoid being labelled doomers. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
DB
Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Cannot both be true: Top AI labs consistently downplay risks in their rhetoric, even when they are doing the right thing in practice. — tap to centre the map on it Top AI labs consistently downplay risks in their rhetoric, even when they are doing the right thing in practice. Last stated a month ago
4 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
In tension: Access to large-scale generalist AI systems that could be weaponized should be limited, meaning their code and neural network parameters should not be released open-source. — tap to centre the map on it Access to large-scale generalist AI systems that could be weaponized should be limited, meaning their code and neural network parameters should not be released open-source. Last stated 3 years ago
24 Jun 2023
YB
Yoshua Bengio — holds since 2023-06-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: At any given moment the frontier systems are the ones worth worrying about, because by the time open models can do what these agents did, frontier models will be doing something far worse. — tap to centre the map on it At any given moment the frontier systems are the ones worth worrying about, because by the time open models can do what these agents did, frontier models will be doing something far worse. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. — tap to centre the map on it There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Dec 2024
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Frontier Chinese AI labs are moving toward more restrictive licensing terms for their open models. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier Chinese AI labs are moving toward more restrictive licensing terms for their open models. Last stated a month ago
8 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody inside a frontier lab can speak freely about AI, because there are things the organisation will not let them say and things it wants them to say. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody inside a frontier lab can speak freely about AI, because there are things the organisation will not let them say and things it wants them to say. Last stated 7 months ago
20 Mar 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Open-source models cannot keep frontier systems in check, because they will always be much dumber than the frontier. — tap to centre the map on it Open-source models cannot keep frontier systems in check, because they will always be much dumber than the frontier. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The safety culture at frontier AI labs is broken. — tap to centre the map on it The safety culture at frontier AI labs is broken. Last stated 4 days ago
14 Oct 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In US-China AI competition the closed labs are beside the point; the competitor that shifts things must be American, open source and able to serve inference at scale. — tap to centre the map on it In US-China AI competition the closed labs are beside the point; the competitor that shifts things must be American, open source and able to serve inference at scale. Last stated a month ago
3 Sept 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Frontier AI labs have a strategic incentive to pace their capability releases so society has time to address the overhangs caused by model advancement. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI labs have a strategic incentive to pace their capability releases so society has time to address the overhangs caused by model advancement. Last stated 3 weeks ago
25 Sept 2026
BT
Ben Thompson — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. Last stated a year ago
15 May 2025
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. Last stated 3 weeks ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. Last stated a month ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Frontier labs are incentivised toward fear because it justifies staying closed, which leaves open-source advocates rooting for Chinese labs.
Holds Read this korrent →
Experts on the governance of superintelligence systematically self-censored about serious AI risk to avoid being labelled doomers.
Holds
Top AI labs consistently downplay risks in their rhetoric, even when they are doing the right thing in practice.
Holds
Access to large-scale generalist AI systems that could be weaponized should be limited, meaning their code and neural network parameters should not be released open-source.
Holds
At any given moment the frontier systems are the ones worth worrying about, because by the time open models can do what these agents did, frontier models will be doing something far worse.
Holds
There is no private evidence behind frontier-lab confidence in fast AI progress; the evidence is public and outsiders have simply not absorbed it.
Holds
Frontier Chinese AI labs are moving toward more restrictive licensing terms for their open models.
Holds
Nobody inside a frontier lab can speak freely about AI, because there are things the organisation will not let them say and things it wants them to say.
Holds
Open-source models cannot keep frontier systems in check, because they will always be much dumber than the frontier.
Holds
The safety culture at frontier AI labs is broken.
Holds
In US-China AI competition the closed labs are beside the point; the competitor that shifts things must be American, open source and able to serve inference at scale.
Holds
Frontier AI labs have a strategic incentive to pace their capability releases so society has time to address the overhangs caused by model advancement.
Holds
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds
A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for.
Holds
A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it.
Holds
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Holds
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Holds
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.
Holds