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← Evals are not the durable asset people think they are: one survives…

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 5 Nov 2019 to 8 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Everything filed under ARC-AGI ARC-AGI Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under design design Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Everything filed under code generation code generation Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Evals are not the durable asset people think they are: one survives about one to three model generations before it saturates and has to be thrown away. Evals are not the durable asset peoplethink they are: one survives about one tothree model generations before itsaturates and has to be thrown away. Last stated 3 months ago 27 Jul 2026 BC Boris Cherny — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A project that only shows the models are not ready yet is a win if it leaves behind an eval to retry with later models. — tap to centre the map on it A project that only shows the modelsare not ready yet is a win if itleaves behind an eval to retry withlater models. Last stated a month ago 10 Sept 2026 MK Mike Krieger — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Models look far better on evals than they are in the world because researchers, inadvertently, take inspiration from the evals when they build RL environments. — tap to centre the map on it Models look far better on evals thanthey are in the world becauseresearchers, inadvertently, takeinspiration from the evals when theybuild RL environments. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Before building on a gap in the general models, work out whether that gap survives six months or three years. — tap to centre the map on it Before building on a gap in thegeneral models, work out whetherthat gap survives six months orthree years. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A visual eval lets designers who are not in the code build complex tooling and autonomous runs they can still shape and control the way they are used to. — tap to centre the map on it A visual eval lets designers who arenot in the code build complextooling and autonomous runs they canstill shape and control the way theyare used to. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 KZ Kyle Zantos — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A year from now every coding model on the market will still take a bad instruction at face value and go fix the listed issues, where a human senior engineer would insist on a rewrite. — tap to centre the map on it A year from now every coding modelon the market will still take a badinstruction at face value and go fixthe listed issues, where a humansenior engineer would insist on arewrite. Last stated 5 months ago 24 May 2026 DS Dan Shipper — holds since 2026-05-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Super-exponential injection of external resources is not sustainable in the long-term. — tap to centre the map on it Super-exponential injection ofexternal resources is notsustainable in the long-term. Last stated 2 weeks ago 8 Oct 2026 FC François Chollet — holds since 2026-10-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: You can now generate ten thousand variants of a function faster than you could write it once, and that economics pushes software towards replacement rather than repair. — tap to centre the map on it You can now generate ten thousandvariants of a function faster thanyou could write it once, and thateconomics pushes software towardsreplacement rather than repair. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CM Charity Majors — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: If declines in chain-of-thought monitorability come only from capability gains, CoT monitoring is unlikely to last another year without active improvement. — tap to centre the map on it If declines in chain-of-thoughtmonitorability come only fromcapability gains, CoT monitoring isunlikely to last another yearwithout active improvement. Last stated a month ago 8 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Codelast while it stays first in use ismeasuring the wrong thing, and hasbeen for a year. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A carmaker's claim to be the safest is mostly an artefact of comparing a new car against a fleet average twelve years old. — tap to centre the map on it A carmaker's claim to be the safestis mostly an artefact of comparing anew car against a fleet averagetwelve years old. Last stated 3 years ago 19 Dec 2023 PK Philip Koopman — holds since 2023-12-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model's capability is now a function of how much money you spend on it, so asking what a model can do means nothing until you name a budget. — tap to centre the map on it A model's capability is now afunction of how much money you spendon it, so asking what a model can domeans nothing until you name abudget. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Language models perform better on benchmark problems released before their training data cutoff, indicating data contamination inflates scores. — tap to centre the map on it Language models perform better onbenchmark problems released beforetheir training data cutoff,indicating data contaminationinflates scores. Last stated 2 years ago 13 May 2024 SR Sebastian Ruder — holds since 2024-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used. — tap to centre the map on it Model comparisons understate realprogress, because benchmark tablesdo not control for how muchtest-time compute each answer used. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus can measure human-like general fluid intelligence and enable fair comparisons between AI systems and humans. — tap to centre the map on it The Abstraction and Reasoning Corpuscan measure human-like general fluidintelligence and enable faircomparisons between AI systems andhumans. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Combining an avocado and a chair into one image is evidence a model conceptually understands both, not that it memorised pictures of them. — tap to centre the map on it Combining an avocado and a chairinto one image is evidence a modelconceptually understands both, notthat it memorised pictures of them. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it Passing ARC-AGI does not amount toachieving AGI: o3 still fails onsome very easy tasks, indicatingfundamental differences from humanintelligence. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 FC François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Evals are not the durable asset people think they are: one survives about one to three model generations before it saturates and has to be thrown away. Last stated 27 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago Holds Boris Cherny Read this korrent →