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← Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 30 Aug 2005 to 13 May 2026.

Everything filed under metascience metascience Everything filed under TypeScript TypeScript Everything filed under physics physics Everything filed under mental models mental models Everything filed under simplicity simplicity Everything filed under ambition ambition Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the most reality-distorting things a scientist can do. Deciding your conclusion before you lookat the data is one of the mostreality-distorting things a scientist cando. Last stated 4 years ago 27 Dec 2022 SR Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-12-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A scientific paper should not be built around a take-home message, because that invites cherry-picking and hiding the results that did not fit. — tap to centre the map on it A scientific paper should not bebuilt around a take-home message,because that invites cherry-pickingand hiding the results that did notfit. Last stated 4 years ago 27 Dec 2022 SR Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-12-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences. — tap to centre the map on it A far-fetched idea earns its placein physics only when you can go outand look for its observationalconsequences. Last stated 3 years ago 3 Dec 2023 LR Lisa Randall — holds since 2023-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The full picture of a scientific debate is almost always more complex than a skim of the abstracts, so it is worth checking the actual data. — tap to centre the map on it The full picture of a scientificdebate is almost always more complexthan a skim of the abstracts, so itis worth checking the actual data. Last stated 8 months ago 19 Feb 2026 AH Alex Hutchinson — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Occam's razor works best for making initial conclusions before the full scope of information can be obtained. — tap to centre the map on it Occam's razor works best for makinginitial conclusions before the fullscope of information can beobtained. Last stated 7 years ago 28 Oct 2019 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2019-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking is criticising andcorrecting partly true guesses, notextrapolating from sense data. Last stated 14 years ago 3 Oct 2012 DD David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence. — tap to centre the map on it A conclusion cannot rest on itssimplicity alone; it must be backedby empirical evidence. Last stated 7 years ago 28 Oct 2019 SP Shane Parrish — holds since 2019-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision hasdiminishing returns because realityis inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago 22 Feb 2022 NN Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. — tap to centre the map on it How science works can be reasonedabout in advance, because theactivity has invariants that do notchange over time. Last stated 5 years ago 17 Mar 2022 JR José Luis Ricón — holds since 2022-03-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: “Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far. — tap to centre the map on it “Trust science” is a confusedinstruction: what deserves trust isthe process, not any particularthing it has concluded so far. Last stated 3 years ago 16 Aug 2023 JC Jason Crawford — holds since 2023-08-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. — tap to centre the map on it A hotter field with more teamsracing on the same question producesless reliable findings, not more. Last stated 21 years ago 30 Aug 2005 JI John Ioannidis — holds since 2005-08-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing. — tap to centre the map on it A hyped effect shrinking to a smallbut real one as the studies improveis a sign that a field is working,not failing. Last stated 4 years ago 11 Oct 2022 SR Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field. — tap to centre the map on it Economics journals have made largedatasets and heavy statistics theprice of making any causal claim atall, which has squeezed qualitativeeconomic history out of the field. Last stated a year ago 13 Oct 2025 AH Anton Howes — holds since 2025-10-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do. — tap to centre the map on it Fraudulent papers pass peer reviewroutinely, which is direct evidencethat peer review does not do the jobit is supposed to do. Last stated 4 years ago 13 Dec 2022 AM Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say. — tap to centre the map on it History has a reproducibilityproblem worse than science’sreplication crisis, because hardlyanyone ever goes back to the sourcesto check what a historian claimedthey say. Last stated 3 years ago 29 Aug 2023 AH Anton Howes — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The most-cited study showing that language design affects software quality rests on misclassified repositories. — tap to centre the map on it The most-cited study showing thatlanguage design affects softwarequality rests on misclassifiedrepositories. Last stated 12 years ago 7 Nov 2014 DL Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A programming language functions as a lens that shapes how a problem is perceived when solving it. — tap to centre the map on it A programming language functions asa lens that shapes how a problem isperceived when solving it. Last stated 8 years ago 9 Apr 2019 TB Thorsten Ball — holds since 2019-04-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start. — tap to centre the map on it A programming language is a ten-yearplay: version one has issues,version two fixes them, versionthree is finally good — and onlythen does adoption start. Last stated 5 months ago 13 May 2026 AH Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the most reality-distorting things a scientist can do. Last stated 27 Dec 2022 · 4 years ago Holds Stuart Ritchie Read this korrent →