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← Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 30 Aug 2005 to 13 May 2026.
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Everything filed under TypeScript
TypeScript
Everything filed under physics
physics
Everything filed under mental models
mental models
Everything filed under simplicity
simplicity
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
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Read this korrent: Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the most reality-distorting things a scientist can do.
Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the most reality-distorting things a scientist can do.
Last stated 4 years ago
27 Dec 2022
SR
Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A scientific paper should not be built around a take-home message, because that invites cherry-picking and hiding the results that did not fit. — tap to centre the map on it
A scientific paper should not be built around a take-home message, because that invites cherry-picking and hiding the results that did not fit.
Last stated 4 years ago
27 Dec 2022
SR
Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-12-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences. — tap to centre the map on it
A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences.
Last stated 3 years ago
3 Dec 2023
LR
Lisa Randall — holds since 2023-12-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The full picture of a scientific debate is almost always more complex than a skim of the abstracts, so it is worth checking the actual data. — tap to centre the map on it
The full picture of a scientific debate is almost always more complex than a skim of the abstracts, so it is worth checking the actual data.
Last stated 8 months ago
19 Feb 2026
AH
Alex Hutchinson — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Occam's razor works best for making initial conclusions before the full scope of information can be obtained. — tap to centre the map on it
Occam's razor works best for making initial conclusions before the full scope of information can be obtained.
Last stated 7 years ago
28 Oct 2019
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2019-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data. — tap to centre the map on it
Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data.
Last stated 14 years ago
3 Oct 2012
DD
David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence. — tap to centre the map on it
A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence.
Last stated 7 years ago
28 Oct 2019
SP
Shane Parrish — holds since 2019-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. — tap to centre the map on it
How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time.
Last stated 5 years ago
17 Mar 2022
JR
José Luis Ricón — holds since 2022-03-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far. — tap to centre the map on it
“Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far.
Last stated 3 years ago
16 Aug 2023
JC
Jason Crawford — holds since 2023-08-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. — tap to centre the map on it
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Last stated 21 years ago
30 Aug 2005
JI
John Ioannidis — holds since 2005-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing. — tap to centre the map on it
A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing.
Last stated 4 years ago
11 Oct 2022
SR
Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field. — tap to centre the map on it
Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field.
Last stated a year ago
13 Oct 2025
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2025-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do. — tap to centre the map on it
Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do.
Last stated 4 years ago
13 Dec 2022
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say. — tap to centre the map on it
History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say.
Last stated 3 years ago
29 Aug 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The most-cited study showing that language design affects software quality rests on misclassified repositories. — tap to centre the map on it
The most-cited study showing that language design affects software quality rests on misclassified repositories.
Last stated 12 years ago
7 Nov 2014
DL
Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A programming language functions as a lens that shapes how a problem is perceived when solving it. — tap to centre the map on it
A programming language functions as a lens that shapes how a problem is perceived when solving it.
Last stated 8 years ago
9 Apr 2019
TB
Thorsten Ball — holds since 2019-04-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start. — tap to centre the map on it
A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start.
Last stated 5 months ago
13 May 2026
AH
Anders Hejlsberg — holds since 2026-05-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2005 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Deciding your conclusion before you look at the data is one of the most reality-distorting things a scientist can do.
Last stated 27 Dec 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Stuart Ritchie
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
A scientific paper should not be built around a take-home message, because that invites cherry-picking and hiding the results that did not fit.
Last stated 27 Dec 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Stuart Ritchie
Similar wording
A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences.
Last stated 3 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Lisa Randall
Similar wording
The full picture of a scientific debate is almost always more complex than a skim of the abstracts, so it is worth checking the actual data.
Last stated 19 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Alex Hutchinson
Similar wording
Occam's razor works best for making initial conclusions before the full scope of information can be obtained.
Last stated 28 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Similar wording
Thinking is criticising and correcting partly true guesses, not extrapolating from sense data.
Last stated 3 Oct 2012 · 14 years ago
Holds David Deutsch
Similar wording
A conclusion cannot rest on its simplicity alone; it must be backed by empirical evidence.
Last stated 28 Oct 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds Shane Parrish
Similar wording
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Last stated 22 Feb 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Neel Nanda
Similar wording
How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time.
Last stated 17 Mar 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds José Luis Ricón
Same subject: metascience
“Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far.
Last stated 16 Aug 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Jason Crawford
Same subject: metascience
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Last stated 30 Aug 2005 · 21 years ago
Holds John Ioannidis
Same subject: metascience
A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing.
Last stated 11 Oct 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Stuart Ritchie
Same subject: peer review
Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field.
Last stated 13 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Anton Howes
Same subject: peer review
Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do.
Last stated 13 Dec 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Adam Mastroianni
Same subject: peer review
History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say.
Last stated 29 Aug 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Anton Howes
Same subject: TypeScript
The most-cited study showing that language design affects software quality rests on misclassified repositories.
Last stated 7 Nov 2014 · 12 years ago
Holds Dan Luu
Same subject: TypeScript
A programming language functions as a lens that shapes how a problem is perceived when solving it.
Last stated 9 Apr 2019 · 8 years ago
Holds Thorsten Ball
Same subject: TypeScript
A programming language is a ten-year play: version one has issues, version two fixes them, version three is finally good — and only then does adoption start.
Last stated 13 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Anders Hejlsberg