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← Coding models give AI research a 15 to 20% total-factor speedup today, up from about 5% six months ago.

8 connected korrents · 11 moments on record from 12 Sept 2022 to 30 Jul 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Coding models give AI research a 15 to 20% total-factor speedup today, up from about 5% six months ago. Coding models give AIresearch a 15 to 20%total-factor speedup today… DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 Same subject: Coding models are worst at exactly the thing an AI research explosion would need: code that has never been written before. — tap to centre the map on it Coding models are worstat exactly the thing an… AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 Same subject: Before product-market fit, coding faster does not help: it is better to think a lot than to swing a lot, and AI does not speed up the thinking. — tap to centre the map on it Before product-marketfit, coding faster does… DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it AI models have reachedthe level of a junior… JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 Same subject: The code today’s models and agents write is very hard to follow: you get better performance without knowing why, and no way to fix it when it breaks. — tap to centre the map on it The code today’s modelsand agents write is… ES Elizabeth Stone — holds since 2026-07-19 Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is fasterthan people expect, and… AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 Same subject: A team that slows down and reads every pull request and every line of code should expect only a 30 to 50 percent productivity lift from AI. — tap to centre the map on it A team that slows downand reads every pull… DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 Same subject: The metric that matters is engineering velocity, not the share of code AI writes, and at Google AI has raised it by about ten percent. — tap to centre the map on it The metric that mattersis engineering… SP Sundar Pichai — holds since 2025-06-05 Same subject: Delegating coding to an agent does not make you program faster, but it gives back roughly 30% of your day because the machine works while you do something else. — tap to centre the map on it Delegating coding to anagent does not make you… AR Armin Ronacher — holds since 2025-06-04
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At the centre Coding models give AI research a 15 to 20% total-factor speedup today, up from about 5% six months ago. Holds DADario Amodei Read this korrent →