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Among AI people, roughly 10% is the typical estimate given for the risk of human extinction from AI.

Drawn from what Noah Smith said

What Noah Smith actually said

  1. Noah Smith Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter
    10% is pretty much the standard number you get when you ask AI people about the risk of human extinction from AI.

Added to korrents 11 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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