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← Skeptics who say AI can't conjecture, theorize, or explain are…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 20 Dec 2024 to 3 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
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AGI
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climate change
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benchmarks
Everything filed under humility
humility Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Skeptics who say AI can't conjecture, theorize, or explain are describing last spring's models rather than current ones. Skeptics who say AI can't conjecture, theorize, or explain are describing last spring's models rather than current ones. Last stated 2 days ago
3 Oct 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Neither the AI enthusiasts nor the AI sceptics are making it up; both camps are looking at real trends. — tap to centre the map on it Neither the AI enthusiasts nor the AI sceptics are making it up; both camps are looking at real trends. Last stated 2 months ago
12 Aug 2026
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Arguing that human-level AI is very unlikely within twenty years is now the minority position, and the burden of proof has moved onto it. — tap to centre the map on it Arguing that human-level AI is very unlikely within twenty years is now the minority position, and the burden of proof has moved onto it. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Claims that AI will be a net benefit for the climate lack strong supporting evidence. — tap to centre the map on it Claims that AI will be a net benefit for the climate lack strong supporting evidence. Last stated 3 weeks ago
16 Sept 2026
KJ
Ketan Joshi — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI learning to generate good conjectures will never show up as a benchmark being knocked down; it will show up as a shift in how mathematicians talk about the tools. — tap to centre the map on it AI learning to generate good conjectures will never show up as a benchmark being knocked down; it will show up as a shift in how mathematicians talk about the tools. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current AI models cannot produce insights beyond human understanding, however impressive they seem — tap to centre the map on it Current AI models cannot produce insights beyond human understanding, however impressive they seem Last stated a year ago
23 Jun 2025
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2025-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People disagreeing about AI capability are speaking past each other, because they are using models of very different tiers on very different kinds of task. — tap to centre the map on it People disagreeing about AI capability are speaking past each other, because they are using models of very different tiers on very different kinds of task. Last stated 6 months ago
9 Apr 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-04-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world — tap to centre the map on it A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world Last stated 10 months ago
24 Nov 2025
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-11-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. Last stated a week ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A prisoner who lost faith in his own future was doomed — tap to centre the map on it A prisoner who lost faith in his own future was doomed
VF
Viktor Frankl — holds since c. 1946–1992 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A proposal to pace frontier AI development is unrealistic and mainly serves political control of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A proposal to pace frontier AI development is unrealistic and mainly serves political control of AI. Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Sept 2026
BT
Ben Thompson — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Adapting over time is a workable answer to humans misusing AI and no answer at all to losing control of systems smarter than us. — tap to centre the map on it Adapting over time is a workable answer to humans misusing AI and no answer at all to losing control of systems smarter than us. Last stated 2 years ago
5 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. — tap to centre the map on it Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are