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← A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 27 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI writing AI writing Everything filed under Anthropic Anthropic Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI sentience AI sentience Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea. A compelling simulation of a human beingcould arrive within five years, and thetechnology is heading there whether or notit is a good idea. Last stated a year ago 30 Apr 2025 TS Tim Sweeney — holds since 2025-04-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Today's chat-based AI tools have deep-rooted usability problems and are not the interfaces we will be using in a few years; prompt engineering is a symptom, not a career. — tap to centre the map on it Today's chat-based AI tools havedeep-rooted usability problems andare not the interfaces we will beusing in a few years; promptengineering is a symptom, not acareer. Last stated 3 years ago 22 Jun 2023 JN Jakob Nielsen — holds since 2023-06-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Current AI systems are very unlikely to be close to achieving genuine sentience. — tap to centre the map on it Current AI systems are very unlikelyto be close to achieving genuinesentience. Last stated 3 months ago 16 Jul 2026 SJ Steven Johnson — holds since 2026-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existingAI models are barely being used andare often not even well understood. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 EM Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Robot models will reach ChatGPT-level capability within the next few years, even without a ChatGPT-style moment. — tap to centre the map on it Robot models will reachChatGPT-level capability within thenext few years, even without aChatGPT-style moment. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI isprobably possible, but it is noteven desirable, because it is ahard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Digital biology is about to have its ChatGPT moment, on the back of multimodality, long context and synthetic data generation. — tap to centre the map on it Digital biology is about to have itsChatGPT moment, on the back ofmultimodality, long context andsynthetic data generation. Last stated 9 months ago 8 Jan 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A CEO who sends out an AI-written strategy memo is modelling that it is fine to outsource thinking and strategy. — tap to centre the map on it A CEO who sends out an AI-writtenstrategy memo is modelling that itis fine to outsource thinking andstrategy. Last stated 4 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers withany error rate at all becomesinsufferable, because finding theerror costs more than the paper isworth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI can now produce in minutes work that used to take weeks to build. — tap to centre the map on it AI can now produce in minutes workthat used to take weeks to build. Last stated 5 months ago 26 May 2026 CB Carlos Alexandro Becker — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. — tap to centre the map on it "I don't know" becomes a kind ofsuperpower when you can work withClaude Code to figure things out. Last stated 7 months ago 19 Mar 2026 KP Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark that ranks Claude Code last while it stays first in use is measuring the wrong thing, and has been for a year. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark that ranks Claude Codelast while it stays first in use ismeasuring the wrong thing, and hasbeen for a year. Last stated 2 months ago 3 Sept 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A skill is a set of repeatable, specific instructions that augments what Claude Code can do. — tap to centre the map on it A skill is a set of repeatable,specific instructions that augmentswhat Claude Code can do. Last stated 7 months ago 19 Mar 2026 KP Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are
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At the centre A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea. Last stated 30 Apr 2025 · a year ago Holds Tim Sweeney Read this korrent →