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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

What Nassim Nicholas Taleb thinks about mental models

@nassim-taleb · 38 positions · On ppll ↗

Former option trader and risk analyst, now a distinguished professor at NYU. Author of the Incerto essay series, including The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

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Only Nassim Nicholas Taleb on mental models. See everyone on mental models

5 dated positions, c. 2004 to c. 2012, in their own words. Our reading of what Nassim Nicholas Taleb has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Our readingSome things gain from shocks, volatility and disorder

    Their wordsSome things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty.

    ↗Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder (Random House, 2012)archive.org All 14 from this book

  3. Our readingWhat you don't know matters far more than what you do know

    Their wordsBlack Swan logic makes what you don’t know far more relevant than what you do know.

    ↗The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Random House, 2007)archive.org All 8 from this book

  5. Our readingNobody is safe in Extremistan

    Their wordsI have said that nobody is safe in Extremistan.

    ↗The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Random House, 2007)archive.org All 8 from this book

  7. Our readingProbability is accepting the limits of our knowledge and dealing with our ignorance

    Their wordsProbability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.

    ↗Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Random House, 2005 edition; copyright 2004)archive.org All 4 from this book

  9. Our readingNot being rational, one is prone to drown in randomness

    Their wordsMy problem is that I am not rational and I am extremely prone to drown in randomness and to incur emotional torture.

    ↗Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Random House, 2005 edition; copyright 2004)archive.org All 4 from this book