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David Deutsch

What David Deutsch thinks about AGI

@david-deutsch · 15 positions · 0 changes of mind

Physicist at the University of Oxford and a pioneer of quantum computation; author of The Fabric of Reality (1997) and The Beginning of Infinity (2011).

David Deutsch did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

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Only David Deutsch on AGI. See everyone on AGI

7 dated positions, 2012, in their own words. Our reading of what David Deutsch has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Our readingAGI research made no progress in its first six decades.

    measuring intelligence

    Their wordsThe enterprise of achieving it artificially — the field of ‘artificial general intelligence’ or AGI — has made no progress whatever during the entire six decades of its existence.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 1st of 15 in this piece

  3. Our readingAGI must be possible, because the laws of physics make computation universal.

    physics

    Their wordsDespite this long record of failure, AGI must be possible. And that is because of a deep property of the laws of physics, namely the universality of computation.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 2nd of 15 in this piece

  5. Our readingBayesianism is a version of the mistaken induction approach to AGI.

    mathematics

    Their wordsCurrently one of the most influential versions of the ‘induction’ approach to AGI (and to the philosophy of science) is Bayesianism, unfairly named after the 18th-century mathematician Thomas Bayes, who was quite innocent of the mistake.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 7th of 15 in this piece

  7. Our readingAn AGI is qualitatively, not quantitatively, different from all other computer programs.

    Their wordsAn AGI is qualitatively, not quantitatively, different from all other computer programs.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 8th of 15 in this piece

  9. Our readingExpecting AGI without first understanding how it works is like expecting skyscrapers to fly if built tall enough.

    Their wordsExpecting to create an AGI without first understanding in detail how it works is like expecting skyscrapers to learn to fly if we build them tall enough.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 9th of 15 in this piece

  11. Our readingDeveloping AGI is a problem of philosophy, not computer science or neurophysiology.

    Their wordsI am convinced that the whole problem of developing AGIs is a matter of philosophy, not computer science or neurophysiology

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 14th of 15 in this piece

  13. Our readingPlausibly a single idea stands between us and AGI.

    Their wordsSo in one respect I can agree with the AGI-is-imminent camp: it is plausible that just a single idea stands between us and the breakthrough.

    ↗How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?aeon.co 15th of 15 in this piece