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Daniel W. Drezner

Daniel W. Drezner

@daniel-drezner · 40 positions · 2 changes of mind · On ppll ↗

Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations, American politics and the marketplace of ideas; author of The Ideas Industry.

Daniel W. Drezner did not write this page.

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Trump's foreign-policy team is incompetent and lazy at every level, and keeps sabotaging itself

Our label. 5 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

A government's foreign-policy failures often stem from its policymakers' laziness rather than strategic miscalculation.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations the Trump administration's foreign policymakers are so lazy that they keep self-sabotaging. The Trump Administration Strategy Faildanieldrezner.substack.com · 9 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    the Trump administration's foreign policymakers are so lazy that they keep self-sabotaging.

Trump's foreign policy and national security team is staffed with incompetent people at every level.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Remember: when it comes to Trump's foreign policy and national security team, it's incompetents all the way down. The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apacedanieldrezner.substack.com · 19 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    Remember: when it comes to Trump's foreign policy and national security team, it's incompetents all the way down.

The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats. The Lousiest Adults in the Roomdanieldrezner.substack.com · 8 Oct 2026
    The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats.

Rubio’s speeches are dime-store rhetoric grasping at profundity and failing.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Let’s be clear: Rubio’s speeches are dime-store rhetoric grasping at profundity and failing. The Lousiest Adults in the Roomdanieldrezner.substack.com · 8 Oct 2026
    Let’s be clear: Rubio’s speeches are dime-store rhetoric grasping at profundity and failing.

The State Department is being hollowed out into an unmanaged, personalist apparatus

Our label. 5 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

The Trump administration is replacing professional bureaucracy with a corrupt, personalist system that extracts rents through force.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations In practice, Hochman's hire is another nauseating sign that the Trump administration is destroying the bureaucracy in favor of some corrupt, neo-royalist husk of an apparatus that mostly posts memes and occasionally deploys the 82nd Airborne to extract rents. The Devolution of the Policy Planning Staffdanieldrezner.substack.com · 8 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    In practice, Hochman's hire is another nauseating sign that the Trump administration is destroying the bureaucracy in favor of some corrupt, neo-royalist husk of an apparatus that mostly posts memes and occasionally deploys the 82nd Airborne to extract rents.

Marco Rubio is struggling to hire talented staff and is settling for loyalists who follow his instructions instead.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations This suggests that Rubio is having some difficulties hiring anyone with talent and is settling for a putz who will do what Rubio tells him to do on Latin America. The Devolution of the Policy Planning Staffdanieldrezner.substack.com · 8 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    This suggests that Rubio is having some difficulties hiring anyone with talent and is settling for a putz who will do what Rubio tells him to do on Latin America.

Simultaneously holding the Secretary of State and National Security Advisor roles prevents either job from being done well.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The most obvious problem is that Marco Rubio continues to hold both the Secretary of State and national security advisor positions. This has been going on for nearly 18 months now and it's obviously not working well at all. The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apacedanieldrezner.substack.com · 19 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    The most obvious problem is that Marco Rubio continues to hold both the Secretary of State and national security advisor positions. This has been going on for nearly 18 months now and it's obviously not working well at all.

The culture of the Trump administration guarantees that special envoys will not be constrained.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations But the story also reveals why the culture of the Trump administration guarantees that this will not happen: The secretary of state is not managing anything at Foggy Bottom so he can stay close to the president; The deputy secretary of state is an insecure martinet who would never have been placed in such a high position in any competent administration; The special envoys appointed by Trump will either leak to the press or complain to the White House if anyone tries to rein in their activities. Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio!danieldrezner.substack.com · 15 Oct 2026
    But the story also reveals why the culture of the Trump administration guarantees that this will not happen: The secretary of state is not managing anything at Foggy Bottom so he can stay close to the president; The deputy secretary of state is an insecure martinet who would never have been placed in such a high position in any competent administration; The special envoys appointed by Trump will either leak to the press or complain to the White House if anyone tries to rein in their activities.

The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing. Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio!danieldrezner.substack.com · 15 Oct 2026
    The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing.

Trump's foreign policy is speeding the decline of American hegemony and eroding its deterrence

Our label. 6 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

The Trump administration is accelerating the decline and fall of American global hegemony.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations I honestly do not know if the Trump administration will be able to completely eviscerate American power over the next two year - but damn they sure seem to be accelerating the decline and fall of American hegemony. The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Falldanieldrezner.substack.com · 14 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    I honestly do not know if the Trump administration will be able to completely eviscerate American power over the next two year - but damn they sure seem to be accelerating the decline and fall of American hegemony.

The Trump administration's recent foreign policy failures have significantly eroded U.S. deterrent power.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations the steady accumulation of humiliating defeats that have badly eroded U.S. deterrent power. The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apacedanieldrezner.substack.com · 19 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    the steady accumulation of humiliating defeats that have badly eroded U.S. deterrent power.

A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations the Trump administration's deferential posture towards Russia and China has alienated allies. But on the other hand, it has gained the United States nothing in the way of strategic stability. So How Is The Concert of Trump Going?danieldrezner.substack.com · 2 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    the Trump administration's deferential posture towards Russia and China has alienated allies. But on the other hand, it has gained the United States nothing in the way of strategic stability.

Trump is globally hated but not feared, the opposite of where Machiavelli said a prince should be.

  1. Paul Krugman Trade economist, Nobel laureate in 2008 for his work… Globally, then, Trump is in exactly the opposite position of where Machiavelli said a prince should be: hated but not feared. Fear Strikes Outpaulkrugman.substack.com · 18 Sept 2026
    Globally, then, Trump is in exactly the opposite position of where Machiavelli said a prince should be: hated but not feared.
  2. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations In Machiavellian terms, Trump is no longer feared, and he's definitely no longer liked. Instead, he is hated - which is the one thing Machiavelli stressed should be avoided at all costs. Donald Trump Is No Longer Feareddanieldrezner.substack.com · 17 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    In Machiavellian terms, Trump is no longer feared, and he's definitely no longer liked. Instead, he is hated - which is the one thing Machiavelli stressed should be avoided at all costs.

The U.S. dollar's continued global dominance is a lagging indicator, not proof that American hegemony remains intact.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations the dollar's status is not a harbinger of U.S. hegemonic decline - it's a lagging indicator. The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Falldanieldrezner.substack.com · 14 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    the dollar's status is not a harbinger of U.S. hegemonic decline - it's a lagging indicator.

Overusing financial statecraft, allying with overseas populists, or prolonged anti-immigrant policy will push even close U.S. allies toward alternatives to dollar- and Wall Street-centered systems.

Second-order thinking

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Excessive use of financial statecraft, alliances with overseas populists, or prolonged bouts of anti-immigrant hysteria, however, will force even close allies to start thinking about alternatives. The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Falldanieldrezner.substack.com · 14 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    Excessive use of financial statecraft, alliances with overseas populists, or prolonged bouts of anti-immigrant hysteria, however, will force even close allies to start thinking about alternatives.

The pressure campaign and war against Iran are failing, and their costs are large

Our label. 4 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

The U.S. military campaign against Iran is failing and has imposed massive strategic costs on the United States.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations the United States is not winning that war and the strategic costs have been massive. Pete Hegseth is Losing His Gripdanieldrezner.substack.com · 31 Aug 2026All korrents from this piece
    the United States is not winning that war and the strategic costs have been massive.

Governments running pressure campaigns tend to wishfully overestimate how close the adversary is to collapse.

Cognitive biases

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations A second pathology is the administration's wishcasting that Iran is just days away from collapsing. The Trump Administration Strategy Faildanieldrezner.substack.com · 9 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    A second pathology is the administration's wishcasting that Iran is just days away from collapsing.

A leader too impatient to sustain a waiting game will undermine strategies built on economic pressure and waiting out an adversary.

Play long games

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Trump is lousy at playing a waiting game, and that's what this strategy entails The Trump Administration Strategy Faildanieldrezner.substack.com · 9 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    Trump is lousy at playing a waiting game, and that's what this strategy entails

Failed U.S. attempts to secure its preferred outcomes in the Persian Gulf will keep energy prices elevated.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations So it does not seem as though U.S. preferences in the Persian Gulf will be achieved - which means prices in general and energy prices in particular are likely to stay high. Donald Trump Is No Longer Feareddanieldrezner.substack.com · 17 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    So it does not seem as though U.S. preferences in the Persian Gulf will be achieved - which means prices in general and energy prices in particular are likely to stay high.

Trump's tariffs have achieved little beyond higher prices, while alienating allies and voters

Our label. 3 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

Trump's tariffs and his war in Iran are contributing to current U.S. inflation.

  1. Noah Smith Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter Trump has done lots of things to make inflation worse in his second term: 1. Tariffs 2. Massive deficits that he says we can "pay back" with inflation 3. The Iran War @Noahpinion on Xx.com · 3 Oct 2026
    Trump has done lots of things to make inflation worse in his second term: 1. Tariffs 2. Massive deficits that he says we can "pay back" with inflation 3. The Iran War
  2. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The current problem with prices might be one part AI construction boom, but it is one part Trump's tariffs and one part Trump's war in Iran as well. Donald Trump Is No Longer Feareddanieldrezner.substack.com · 17 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    The current problem with prices might be one part AI construction boom, but it is one part Trump's tariffs and one part Trump's war in Iran as well.

Trump's trade agenda is alienating allies and angering the American public.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations So, on the whole, Trump’s trade agenda is alienating allies and angering the American public. So How is the Trump Trade Agenda Going?danieldrezner.substack.com · 5 Oct 2026
    So, on the whole, Trump’s trade agenda is alienating allies and angering the American public.

The tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Economically, the tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit. Has America Hit Peak Protectionism?danieldrezner.substack.com · 22 Oct 2026
    Economically, the tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit.

Republicans are headed for a bad midterm, and the political trend is running against Trump

Our label. 4 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

The public mood on Trump will become even more sour after a bad midterm performance.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The public mood on Trump is already historically sour. It will only get more so after a bad midterm performance, as Republicans disillusion in their standard-bearer kicks in. The Post-Midterms Scenario No One Believes Will Happen... But I Kinda Sorta Think Maybe It Will Happendanieldrezner.substack.com · 7 Oct 2026
    The public mood on Trump is already historically sour. It will only get more so after a bad midterm performance, as Republicans disillusion in their standard-bearer kicks in.

All trendlines for Democrats look good for November 3rd being a good night.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations All of the trendlines for Democrats look really good for November 3rd being a good night. Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Twodanieldrezner.substack.com · 10 Oct 2026
    All of the trendlines for Democrats look really good for November 3rd being a good night.

Trump will not be able to claw back control over Congress using extralegal means if Democrats win decisively.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations If the Democrats shellack the Republicans in a few weeks, will Trump be able to claw back control over Congress using more extralegal means? Nah. Maybe they will try — but they will not succeed. Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Threedanieldrezner.substack.com · 18 Oct 2026
    If the Democrats shellack the Republicans in a few weeks, will Trump be able to claw back control over Congress using more extralegal means? Nah. Maybe they will try — but they will not succeed.

Trump's administration has been steered off a political cliff, and while his advisers might sense it, Trump himself remains unaware.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations The thing is, while Trump’s staffers and advisers might be aware of the effect of political gravity, Trump himself remains unaware that he and his feckless subordinates have steered his administration off of a political cliff. Welcome to the Wile E. Coyote Momentdanieldrezner.substack.com · 22 Sept 2026
    The thing is, while Trump’s staffers and advisers might be aware of the effect of political gravity, Trump himself remains unaware that he and his feckless subordinates have steered his administration off of a political cliff.

Universities should stay neutral on faculty politics, and they are not indoctrinating anyone

Our label. 3 claims in Daniel W. Drezner's own words.

Teaching that reflects political commitments is a legitimate part of intellectual diversity, not a violation of academic norms

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations There is nothing wrong with promoting perspectives that have political commitments; in fact, intellectual diversity requires this, because some viewpoints include political commitments. That’s Not How Academic Freedom Works, Vanderbilt Trustees!!danieldrezner.substack.com · 10 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    There is nothing wrong with promoting perspectives that have political commitments; in fact, intellectual diversity requires this, because some viewpoints include political commitments.

Universities and their administrations should remain ideologically neutral toward faculty's political views

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations An institution must remain neutral with regard to the ideological beliefs of its faculty. That’s Not How Academic Freedom Works, Vanderbilt Trustees!!danieldrezner.substack.com · 10 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    An institution must remain neutral with regard to the ideological beliefs of its faculty.

Universities are too busy accommodating conservative interests to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology.

  1. Daniel W. Drezner Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations Universities are too busy scrapping diversity statements, funding centers for conservative thought, and appeasing conservative trustees to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology. The Op-Eds About Higher Education Need to Stop Until We Figure Out What the Hell Is Going On With the Op-Ed Contributorsdanieldrezner.substack.com · 20 Oct 2026
    Universities are too busy scrapping diversity statements, funding centers for conservative thought, and appeasing conservative trustees to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology.