Alex Imas

@alex-imas · 18 positions · On ppll ↗

Behavioural economist at Chicago Booth, professor of behavioural science and economics and director of AGI economics at Google DeepMind.

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What Alex Imas says most about

AI and jobs 12

Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them.
Professions like law will stay human for regulatory rather than relational reasons: you need somebody who can hold a licence, be blamed and be fired.

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economists 2

Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them.
David Ricardo's prediction that the machines would take those jobs was exactly right, and he would still be astonished by today's employment rate.

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energy 2

Whether AI's gains are widely shared turns on whether it is like electricity, where the users captured the benefit, or like social media, where the platform did.
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.

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