korrents

korrents · piece

Energy Predictions 2025

Casey Handmer · 8 Dec 2025 · caseyhandmer.wordpress.com

6 korrents from this piece

Casey Handmer did not write this page.

Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Do we need to drastically expand the grid in order to metabolize renewables? No.
  2. On the flip side, these captive solar power plants will be curtailing approximately 75% of their generated power and will be able to provide net power on all but a few days per year.
  3. Storing electricity for months is economically difficult, but storing heat is easy.
  4. While heat pumps can achieve higher efficiency, consumer uptake has been much lower than expected because fundamentally, a heat pump is a 20 year bet on future power prices that most homeowners are unwilling to make.
  5. By 2045, natural gas will be used as LNG primarily for high performance supersonic aviation, shipping, and industrial heat.
  6. The only highly populated industrial country unable to trivially meet its electricity and synthetic fuel needs with solar alone is the United Kingdom, due primarily to a high population density and high latitude. The Nordic and Baltic countries are tiny by comparison. Among other problems, the UK needs to decide if it wants the future where energy is cheap and it is rich, or the future where energy is expensive and it is poor. If the former, it is time to get serious about large scale deployment of wind power, using home-grown vertically integrated technology at prices as low as $10/MWh.