Heat pumps are spreading slowly because buying one is a twenty-year bet on the price of electricity that most homeowners will not make.

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• In tension with

  Air-source heat pumps are the best heating choice for most people.

  MacKay says air-source heat pumps are the best heating choice for most people. Handmer explains their slow uptake as a rational refusal: a heat pump is a twenty-year bet on the price of electricity, and most homeowners will not make it. Being the best choice and being a bet nobody takes are compatible, and the gap between them is the whole of heating policy.

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