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10 technologies that won't exist in 5 years

Jacob Trefethen · 2 Feb 2024

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Every claim below was made in this piece, quoted word for word and numbered in the order the piece makes them, so you can read it there rather than take our word for it. The sentence above each quote is our reading of the claim, not their wording. Each quote was checked against a stored copy of the page at build time; where the two differ, the quote is the fact.

  1. Our reading

    Technological progress does not deliver the most important technologies first; what people choose to work on decides what exists.

    Their wordsTechnological progress is not a mystical force that delivers the most important ones first.

  2. Our reading

    Ten billion dollars over ten years would deliver most of a list of missing life-saving health technologies, so their absence is a funding choice rather than a scientific limit.

    Their wordsWith an extra $10 billion over 10 years I’m pretty sure we’d get to 5 or 6 of the 10 on the list, and millions of unnecessary deaths would be prevented.

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